Latest ensemble forecasts from global models show peak daytime temperatures in Busan on September 6 clustering around 27–28°C, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 15–20 m/s that enhance boundary-layer mixing and limit surface heating, alongside variable cloud cover reducing solar insolation. Current surface observations and short-range guidance align with this range amid typical early-September humidity and no strong synoptic forcing for extremes. The close market-implied odds for 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C reflect genuine uncertainty in afternoon maxima tied to small differences in model cloud and wind predictions. Korean Meteorological Administration updates and final station readings from Gimhae International Airport will resolve the market within the next 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日釜山的最高溫度？
9月6日釜山的最高溫度？
28°C 36%
29°C 24%
27°C 23%
30°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
23°C或以下
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
12%
27°C
23%
28°C
27%
29°C
24%
30°C
14%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C或以上
3%
28°C 36%
29°C 24%
27°C 23%
30°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
23°C或以下
$0 交易量
3%
24°C
$0 交易量
1%
25°C
$2 交易量
8%
26°C
$5 交易量
12%
27°C
$115 交易量
23%
28°C
$51 交易量
27%
29°C
$59 交易量
24%
30°C
$11 交易量
14%
31°C
$0 交易量
3%
32°C
$0 交易量
4%
33°C或以上
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models show peak daytime temperatures in Busan on September 6 clustering around 27–28°C, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 15–20 m/s that enhance boundary-layer mixing and limit surface heating, alongside variable cloud cover reducing solar insolation. Current surface observations and short-range guidance align with this range amid typical early-September humidity and no strong synoptic forcing for extremes. The close market-implied odds for 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C reflect genuine uncertainty in afternoon maxima tied to small differences in model cloud and wind predictions. Korean Meteorological Administration updates and final station readings from Gimhae International Airport will resolve the market within the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$243結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models show peak daytime temperatures in Busan on September 6 clustering around 27–28°C, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 15–20 m/s that enhance boundary-layer mixing and limit surface heating, alongside variable cloud cover reducing solar insolation. Current surface observations and short-range guidance align with this range amid typical early-September humidity and no strong synoptic forcing for extremes. The close market-implied odds for 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C reflect genuine uncertainty in afternoon maxima tied to small differences in model cloud and wind predictions. Korean Meteorological Administration updates and final station readings from Gimhae International Airport will resolve the market within the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$243結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from global models show peak daytime temperatures in Busan on September 6 clustering around 27–28°C, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 15–20 m/s that enhance boundary-layer mixing and limit surface heating, alongside variable cloud cover reducing solar insolation. Current surface observations and short-range guidance align with this range amid typical early-September humidity and no strong synoptic forcing for extremes. The close market-implied odds for 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C reflect genuine uncertainty in afternoon maxima tied to small differences in model cloud and wind predictions. Korean Meteorological Administration updates and final station readings from Gimhae International Airport will resolve the market within the next 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions