**Strong model consensus and real-time observations underpin the near-certain market pricing for a 28°C daily maximum in Guangzhou on September 4.** Multiple forecasts, including those from WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local sources, project a high of 28–29°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with typical early-September subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta, where daytime heating is moderated by cloud cover and humidity around 70–80%. Official resolution will rely on verified station data from the China Meteorological Administration, which closely tracks these model outputs. The only realistic challenges involve minor discrepancies from localized urban heat effects, exact peak timing, or last-minute convective activity that could nudge the recorded maximum to 27°C or 29°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日廣州最高溫度？
9月4日廣州最高溫度？
28°C 99.8%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,013 交易量
$49,013 交易量
2026-09-04
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
28°C 99.8%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,013 交易量
$49,013 交易量
2026-09-04
23°C或以下
$265 交易量
<1%
24°C
$846 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,807 交易量
<1%
26°C
$3,336 交易量
<1%
27°C
$6,134 交易量
<1%
28°C
$7,940 交易量
100%
29°C
$7,703 交易量
<1%
30°C
$6,068 交易量
<1%
31°C
$6,874 交易量
<1%
32°C
$3,825 交易量
<1%
33°C或以上
$4,216 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus and real-time observations underpin the near-certain market pricing for a 28°C daily maximum in Guangzhou on September 4.** Multiple forecasts, including those from WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local sources, project a high of 28–29°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with typical early-September subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta, where daytime heating is moderated by cloud cover and humidity around 70–80%. Official resolution will rely on verified station data from the China Meteorological Administration, which closely tracks these model outputs. The only realistic challenges involve minor discrepancies from localized urban heat effects, exact peak timing, or last-minute convective activity that could nudge the recorded maximum to 27°C or 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$49,013結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus and real-time observations underpin the near-certain market pricing for a 28°C daily maximum in Guangzhou on September 4.** Multiple forecasts, including those from WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local sources, project a high of 28–29°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with typical early-September subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta, where daytime heating is moderated by cloud cover and humidity around 70–80%. Official resolution will rely on verified station data from the China Meteorological Administration, which closely tracks these model outputs. The only realistic challenges involve minor discrepancies from localized urban heat effects, exact peak timing, or last-minute convective activity that could nudge the recorded maximum to 27°C or 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$49,013結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Strong model consensus and real-time observations underpin the near-certain market pricing for a 28°C daily maximum in Guangzhou on September 4.** Multiple forecasts, including those from WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local sources, project a high of 28–29°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with typical early-September subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta, where daytime heating is moderated by cloud cover and humidity around 70–80%. Official resolution will rely on verified station data from the China Meteorological Administration, which closely tracks these model outputs. The only realistic challenges involve minor discrepancies from localized urban heat effects, exact peak timing, or last-minute convective activity that could nudge the recorded maximum to 27°C or 29°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions