Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance positions Austin's September 6 high near 97–98°F under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and only a 20% chance of afternoon storms. These conditions favor strong solar heating while limiting cloud cover or widespread rain that could suppress temperatures. The forecast exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 93.4°F, consistent with an ongoing late-summer warm pattern across central Texas. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with the 96–97°F bin leading at 41% implied probability; upside to 100°F+ remains limited by modest moisture and model agreement, while downside below 94°F would require unexpected early convection or thicker cloud cover not currently indicated. Updated NWS runs and heat-index guidance through the weekend represent the next key data points.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
9月6日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
96-97°F 41%
94-95°F 37%
92-93°F 22%
90-91°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
華氏85度或以下
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
19%
92-93°F
22%
94-95°F
37%
96-97°F
41%
98-99°F
20%
華氏100-101度
18%
102-103°F
16%
華氏104度或更高
10%
96-97°F 41%
94-95°F 37%
92-93°F 22%
90-91°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
華氏85度或以下
$0 交易量
4%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
2%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
19%
92-93°F
$0 交易量
22%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
37%
96-97°F
$5 交易量
41%
98-99°F
$13 交易量
20%
華氏100-101度
$0 交易量
18%
102-103°F
$0 交易量
16%
華氏104度或更高
$0 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance positions Austin's September 6 high near 97–98°F under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and only a 20% chance of afternoon storms. These conditions favor strong solar heating while limiting cloud cover or widespread rain that could suppress temperatures. The forecast exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 93.4°F, consistent with an ongoing late-summer warm pattern across central Texas. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with the 96–97°F bin leading at 41% implied probability; upside to 100°F+ remains limited by modest moisture and model agreement, while downside below 94°F would require unexpected early convection or thicker cloud cover not currently indicated. Updated NWS runs and heat-index guidance through the weekend represent the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$18結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance positions Austin's September 6 high near 97–98°F under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and only a 20% chance of afternoon storms. These conditions favor strong solar heating while limiting cloud cover or widespread rain that could suppress temperatures. The forecast exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 93.4°F, consistent with an ongoing late-summer warm pattern across central Texas. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with the 96–97°F bin leading at 41% implied probability; upside to 100°F+ remains limited by modest moisture and model agreement, while downside below 94°F would require unexpected early convection or thicker cloud cover not currently indicated. Updated NWS runs and heat-index guidance through the weekend represent the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model guidance positions Austin's September 6 high near 97–98°F under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and only a 20% chance of afternoon storms. These conditions favor strong solar heating while limiting cloud cover or widespread rain that could suppress temperatures. The forecast exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 93.4°F, consistent with an ongoing late-summer warm pattern across central Texas. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with the 96–97°F bin leading at 41% implied probability; upside to 100°F+ remains limited by modest moisture and model agreement, while downside below 94°F would require unexpected early convection or thicker cloud cover not currently indicated. Updated NWS runs and heat-index guidance through the weekend represent the next key data points.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions