**Trader consensus in this near-term temperature market centers on the latest high-resolution model guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, which indicate a maximum of 31–32 °C under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds on September 4.** Persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover support daytime heating, while sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea caps extreme values. Ensemble spreads remain tight given the short lead time, with minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any thin cirrus distinguishing the closely matched 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes. Historical September maxima in Qingdao average near 26 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly. Final model updates and observational adjustments overnight will provide the last inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日青島氣溫最高？
9月4日青島氣溫最高？
31°C 40%
32°C 39%
30°C 12%
33°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
40%
32°C
39%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
31°C 40%
32°C 39%
30°C 12%
33°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
26°C或以下
$386 交易量
1%
27°C
$108 交易量
1%
28°C
$344 交易量
1%
29°C
$429 交易量
3%
30°C
$369 交易量
12%
31°C
$270 交易量
40%
32°C
$607 交易量
39%
33°C
$99 交易量
8%
34°C
$437 交易量
3%
35°C
$69 交易量
<1%
36°C或以上
$257 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in this near-term temperature market centers on the latest high-resolution model guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, which indicate a maximum of 31–32 °C under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds on September 4.** Persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover support daytime heating, while sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea caps extreme values. Ensemble spreads remain tight given the short lead time, with minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any thin cirrus distinguishing the closely matched 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes. Historical September maxima in Qingdao average near 26 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly. Final model updates and observational adjustments overnight will provide the last inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$3,364結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in this near-term temperature market centers on the latest high-resolution model guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, which indicate a maximum of 31–32 °C under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds on September 4.** Persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover support daytime heating, while sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea caps extreme values. Ensemble spreads remain tight given the short lead time, with minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any thin cirrus distinguishing the closely matched 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes. Historical September maxima in Qingdao average near 26 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly. Final model updates and observational adjustments overnight will provide the last inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,364結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Trader consensus in this near-term temperature market centers on the latest high-resolution model guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, which indicate a maximum of 31–32 °C under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds on September 4.** Persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover support daytime heating, while sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea caps extreme values. Ensemble spreads remain tight given the short lead time, with minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any thin cirrus distinguishing the closely matched 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes. Historical September maxima in Qingdao average near 26 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly. Final model updates and observational adjustments overnight will provide the last inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions