**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 73°F on September 5, 2026, driving the strong 95% market-implied probability for the 72-73°F bin.** This value, measured at 5:08 AM under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, aligns with the seasonal climatology of 70.8°F average low and reflects persistent warm advection without significant radiational cooling. Nearby Camp Mabry reported a slightly higher 77°F minimum, but Bergstrom serves as the primary reference station for such resolutions. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in these verified instrument readings from NOAA. Realistic challenges include rare post-event data revisions or resolution criteria favoring a secondary station, though historical precedent favors the airport report.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日奧斯汀最低溫度？
9月5日奧斯汀最低溫度？
72-73°F 96%
67°F或以下 20%
68-69華氏度 20%
70-71°F 20%
$8,809 交易量
$8,809 交易量
2026-09-05
67°F或以下
否
68-69華氏度
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
是
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86°F或更高
否
72-73°F 96%
67°F或以下 20%
68-69華氏度 20%
70-71°F 20%
$8,809 交易量
$8,809 交易量
2026-09-05
67°F或以下
$12 交易量
否
68-69華氏度
$12 交易量
否
70-71°F
$42 交易量
否
72-73°F
$392 交易量
是
74-75°F
$7,806 交易量
否
76-77°F
$176 交易量
否
78-79°F
$94 交易量
否
80-81°F
$109 交易量
否
82-83°F
$47 交易量
否
84-85°F
$47 交易量
否
86°F或更高
$72 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 73°F on September 5, 2026, driving the strong 95% market-implied probability for the 72-73°F bin.**
This value, measured at 5:08 AM under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, aligns with the seasonal climatology of 70.8°F average low and reflects persistent warm advection without significant radiational cooling. Nearby Camp Mabry reported a slightly higher 77°F minimum, but Bergstrom serves as the primary reference station for such resolutions. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in these verified instrument readings from NOAA.
Realistic challenges include rare post-event data revisions or resolution criteria favoring a secondary station, though historical precedent favors the airport report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$8,809結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 73°F on September 5, 2026, driving the strong 95% market-implied probability for the 72-73°F bin.**
This value, measured at 5:08 AM under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, aligns with the seasonal climatology of 70.8°F average low and reflects persistent warm advection without significant radiational cooling. Nearby Camp Mabry reported a slightly higher 77°F minimum, but Bergstrom serves as the primary reference station for such resolutions. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in these verified instrument readings from NOAA.
Realistic challenges include rare post-event data revisions or resolution criteria favoring a secondary station, though historical precedent favors the airport report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,809結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 73°F on September 5, 2026, driving the strong 95% market-implied probability for the 72-73°F bin.** This value, measured at 5:08 AM under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, aligns with the seasonal climatology of 70.8°F average low and reflects persistent warm advection without significant radiational cooling. Nearby Camp Mabry reported a slightly higher 77°F minimum, but Bergstrom serves as the primary reference station for such resolutions. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in these verified instrument readings from NOAA. Realistic challenges include rare post-event data revisions or resolution criteria favoring a secondary station, though historical precedent favors the airport report.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions