Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers point to a daily maximum in Milan on September 18 most likely between 22–24 °C, supported by a weakening high-pressure ridge and light southerly advection from the Mediterranean that limits daytime heating. Short-range model consensus is tight given the 24-hour lead time, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon cloud development could easily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. This range aligns with climatological September norms for the Po Valley and explains the closely matched market probabilities across 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C outcomes. Final station observations will resolve the market once the day ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日米蘭的最高溫度？
9月18日米蘭的最高溫度？
23°C 36%
24°C 32%
22°C 21%
25°C或以上 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
21%
23°C
36%
24°C
32%
25°C或以上
9%
23°C 36%
24°C 32%
22°C 21%
25°C或以上 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
$45 交易量
<1%
16°C
$125 交易量
<1%
17°C
$125 交易量
<1%
18°C
$2,097 交易量
<1%
19°C
$303 交易量
1%
20°C
$186 交易量
<1%
21°C
$401 交易量
4%
22°C
$670 交易量
21%
23°C
$912 交易量
36%
24°C
$1,605 交易量
32%
25°C或以上
$1,138 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers point to a daily maximum in Milan on September 18 most likely between 22–24 °C, supported by a weakening high-pressure ridge and light southerly advection from the Mediterranean that limits daytime heating. Short-range model consensus is tight given the 24-hour lead time, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon cloud development could easily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. This range aligns with climatological September norms for the Po Valley and explains the closely matched market probabilities across 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C outcomes. Final station observations will resolve the market once the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$7,607結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers point to a daily maximum in Milan on September 18 most likely between 22–24 °C, supported by a weakening high-pressure ridge and light southerly advection from the Mediterranean that limits daytime heating. Short-range model consensus is tight given the 24-hour lead time, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon cloud development could easily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. This range aligns with climatological September norms for the Po Valley and explains the closely matched market probabilities across 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C outcomes. Final station observations will resolve the market once the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,607結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers point to a daily maximum in Milan on September 18 most likely between 22–24 °C, supported by a weakening high-pressure ridge and light southerly advection from the Mediterranean that limits daytime heating. Short-range model consensus is tight given the 24-hour lead time, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon cloud development could easily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. This range aligns with climatological September norms for the Po Valley and explains the closely matched market probabilities across 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C outcomes. Final station observations will resolve the market once the day ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions