Recent forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models indicate a cooling trend over Ankara, with daytime highs for September 18 projected between 21–23°C amid scattered showers and increased cloud cover. This stems from northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and a passing frontal system that limits solar heating while elevating humidity. Market-implied odds cluster around 20–23°C because ensemble runs show modest spread in maximum temperature tied to exact shower timing and boundary-layer mixing; higher outcomes above 25°C would require clearer skies and stronger insolation not currently favored. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, yet the present synoptic pattern favors values closer to the lower end of the distribution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日安卡拉的最高溫度？
9月18日安卡拉的最高溫度？
23°C 37%
24°C 26%
22°C 14%
25°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
17°C或以下
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
8%
22°C
14%
23°C
31%
24°C
26%
25°C
10%
26°C
5%
27°C或更高
6%
23°C 37%
24°C 26%
22°C 14%
25°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
17°C或以下
$5 交易量
4%
18°C
$0 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
4%
20°C
$0 交易量
6%
21°C
$0 交易量
8%
22°C
$0 交易量
14%
23°C
$3 交易量
31%
24°C
$88 交易量
26%
25°C
$0 交易量
10%
26°C
$0 交易量
5%
27°C或更高
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models indicate a cooling trend over Ankara, with daytime highs for September 18 projected between 21–23°C amid scattered showers and increased cloud cover. This stems from northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and a passing frontal system that limits solar heating while elevating humidity. Market-implied odds cluster around 20–23°C because ensemble runs show modest spread in maximum temperature tied to exact shower timing and boundary-layer mixing; higher outcomes above 25°C would require clearer skies and stronger insolation not currently favored. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, yet the present synoptic pattern favors values closer to the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$96結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models indicate a cooling trend over Ankara, with daytime highs for September 18 projected between 21–23°C amid scattered showers and increased cloud cover. This stems from northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and a passing frontal system that limits solar heating while elevating humidity. Market-implied odds cluster around 20–23°C because ensemble runs show modest spread in maximum temperature tied to exact shower timing and boundary-layer mixing; higher outcomes above 25°C would require clearer skies and stronger insolation not currently favored. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, yet the present synoptic pattern favors values closer to the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$96結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models indicate a cooling trend over Ankara, with daytime highs for September 18 projected between 21–23°C amid scattered showers and increased cloud cover. This stems from northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and a passing frontal system that limits solar heating while elevating humidity. Market-implied odds cluster around 20–23°C because ensemble runs show modest spread in maximum temperature tied to exact shower timing and boundary-layer mixing; higher outcomes above 25°C would require clearer skies and stronger insolation not currently favored. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, yet the present synoptic pattern favors values closer to the lower end of the distribution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions