Recent weather model consensus from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service points to a moderating air mass and increased cloud cover over Ankara on September 17, driving the market's concentration around 19–21°C highs with notable dispersion. Northerly winds and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating below the seasonal September average of roughly 26–27°C, while variable timing of any breaks in cloudiness creates uncertainty in peak temperature outcomes. Key variables include the precise strength of the frontal boundary, extent of precipitation cooling, and model spread in boundary-layer mixing; clearer conditions could push readings toward 22–23°C, whereas persistent overcast or heavier rain would favor the lower 18–19°C range. Traders are weighing these short-term forecast revisions against historical late-summer variability in Central Anatolia.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日安卡拉的最高溫度？
9月17日安卡拉的最高溫度？
20°C 32%
19°C 21%
21°C 20%
18°C 19.9%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
20%
19°C
21%
20°C
32%
21°C
20%
22°C
8%
23°C
4%
24°C或更高
4%
20°C 32%
19°C 21%
21°C 20%
18°C 19.9%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
14°C或以下
$218 交易量
<1%
15°C
$213 交易量
<1%
16°C
$408 交易量
<1%
17°C
$465 交易量
1%
18°C
$1,349 交易量
20%
19°C
$508 交易量
21%
20°C
$846 交易量
32%
21°C
$875 交易量
20%
22°C
$814 交易量
8%
23°C
$600 交易量
4%
24°C或更高
$323 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service points to a moderating air mass and increased cloud cover over Ankara on September 17, driving the market's concentration around 19–21°C highs with notable dispersion. Northerly winds and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating below the seasonal September average of roughly 26–27°C, while variable timing of any breaks in cloudiness creates uncertainty in peak temperature outcomes. Key variables include the precise strength of the frontal boundary, extent of precipitation cooling, and model spread in boundary-layer mixing; clearer conditions could push readings toward 22–23°C, whereas persistent overcast or heavier rain would favor the lower 18–19°C range. Traders are weighing these short-term forecast revisions against historical late-summer variability in Central Anatolia.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$6,619結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service points to a moderating air mass and increased cloud cover over Ankara on September 17, driving the market's concentration around 19–21°C highs with notable dispersion. Northerly winds and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating below the seasonal September average of roughly 26–27°C, while variable timing of any breaks in cloudiness creates uncertainty in peak temperature outcomes. Key variables include the precise strength of the frontal boundary, extent of precipitation cooling, and model spread in boundary-layer mixing; clearer conditions could push readings toward 22–23°C, whereas persistent overcast or heavier rain would favor the lower 18–19°C range. Traders are weighing these short-term forecast revisions against historical late-summer variability in Central Anatolia.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,619結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent weather model consensus from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service points to a moderating air mass and increased cloud cover over Ankara on September 17, driving the market's concentration around 19–21°C highs with notable dispersion. Northerly winds and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating below the seasonal September average of roughly 26–27°C, while variable timing of any breaks in cloudiness creates uncertainty in peak temperature outcomes. Key variables include the precise strength of the frontal boundary, extent of precipitation cooling, and model spread in boundary-layer mixing; clearer conditions could push readings toward 22–23°C, whereas persistent overcast or heavier rain would favor the lower 18–19°C range. Traders are weighing these short-term forecast revisions against historical late-summer variability in Central Anatolia.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions