Official NWS forecasts for Austin on September 4 project a mostly sunny day with a high near 97°F and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, consistent with recent model runs showing light southerly flow and modest moisture. This setup favors upper-90s readings at official stations, though scattered convection could briefly limit peak heating if it initiates earlier than expected. Trader emphasis on the 92–95°F range reflects the forecast's central tendency alongside historical September variability and the narrow margin between clear-sky maxima near 99°F versus any earlier cloud cover. Updated NWS discussions and afternoon observations will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
9月4日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
92-93°F 49%
94-95°F 38%
90-91°F 20%
96-97°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
87°F或以下
4%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
20%
92-93°F
49%
94-95°F
38%
96-97°F
18%
98-99華氏度
15%
100-101°F
15%
102-103°F
9%
104-105華氏度
6%
華氏106度或更高
6%
92-93°F 49%
94-95°F 38%
90-91°F 20%
96-97°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
87°F或以下
$0 交易量
4%
88-89°F
$20 交易量
9%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
20%
92-93°F
$0 交易量
49%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
38%
96-97°F
$6 交易量
18%
98-99華氏度
$13 交易量
15%
100-101°F
$10 交易量
15%
102-103°F
$0 交易量
9%
104-105華氏度
$0 交易量
6%
華氏106度或更高
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts for Austin on September 4 project a mostly sunny day with a high near 97°F and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, consistent with recent model runs showing light southerly flow and modest moisture. This setup favors upper-90s readings at official stations, though scattered convection could briefly limit peak heating if it initiates earlier than expected. Trader emphasis on the 92–95°F range reflects the forecast's central tendency alongside historical September variability and the narrow margin between clear-sky maxima near 99°F versus any earlier cloud cover. Updated NWS discussions and afternoon observations will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$48結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts for Austin on September 4 project a mostly sunny day with a high near 97°F and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, consistent with recent model runs showing light southerly flow and modest moisture. This setup favors upper-90s readings at official stations, though scattered convection could briefly limit peak heating if it initiates earlier than expected. Trader emphasis on the 92–95°F range reflects the forecast's central tendency alongside historical September variability and the narrow margin between clear-sky maxima near 99°F versus any earlier cloud cover. Updated NWS discussions and afternoon observations will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$48結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETOfficial NWS forecasts for Austin on September 4 project a mostly sunny day with a high near 97°F and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, consistent with recent model runs showing light southerly flow and modest moisture. This setup favors upper-90s readings at official stations, though scattered convection could briefly limit peak heating if it initiates earlier than expected. Trader emphasis on the 92–95°F range reflects the forecast's central tendency alongside historical September variability and the narrow margin between clear-sky maxima near 99°F versus any earlier cloud cover. Updated NWS discussions and afternoon observations will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions