Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 94–95°F in Dallas on September 4, 2026, under partly sunny skies with south-southeast winds of 5–10 mph and elevated humidity producing heat indices near 106°F. This aligns with the market’s leading 45% implied probability for the 94–95°F bin and the 26% for 96–97°F, as current conditions sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 93°F. Stable steering patterns and limited cloud cover support modest afternoon warming without significant convective cooling or stronger southerly flow that could push readings into the upper 90s. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine the final maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日達拉斯的最高溫度？
9月4日達拉斯的最高溫度？
94-95°F 46%
96-97°F 29%
92-93°F 15%
98-99華氏度 10%
最新
$11,624 交易量
最新
$11,624 交易量
2026-09-04
攝氏85度或以下
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91華氏度
3%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
46%
96-97°F
29%
98-99華氏度
10%
100-101華氏度
4%
102-103華氏度
1%
104°F或更高
<1%
94-95°F 46%
96-97°F 29%
92-93°F 15%
98-99華氏度 10%
最新
$11,624 交易量
最新
$11,624 交易量
2026-09-04
攝氏85度或以下
$631 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$171 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$790 交易量
2%
90-91華氏度
$1,301 交易量
3%
92-93°F
$2,107 交易量
15%
94-95°F
$3,388 交易量
46%
96-97°F
$608 交易量
29%
98-99華氏度
$515 交易量
10%
100-101華氏度
$899 交易量
4%
102-103華氏度
$439 交易量
1%
104°F或更高
$776 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 94–95°F in Dallas on September 4, 2026, under partly sunny skies with south-southeast winds of 5–10 mph and elevated humidity producing heat indices near 106°F. This aligns with the market’s leading 45% implied probability for the 94–95°F bin and the 26% for 96–97°F, as current conditions sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 93°F. Stable steering patterns and limited cloud cover support modest afternoon warming without significant convective cooling or stronger southerly flow that could push readings into the upper 90s. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
交易量
$11,624結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 94–95°F in Dallas on September 4, 2026, under partly sunny skies with south-southeast winds of 5–10 mph and elevated humidity producing heat indices near 106°F. This aligns with the market’s leading 45% implied probability for the 94–95°F bin and the 26% for 96–97°F, as current conditions sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 93°F. Stable steering patterns and limited cloud cover support modest afternoon warming without significant convective cooling or stronger southerly flow that could push readings into the upper 90s. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,624結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 94–95°F in Dallas on September 4, 2026, under partly sunny skies with south-southeast winds of 5–10 mph and elevated humidity producing heat indices near 106°F. This aligns with the market’s leading 45% implied probability for the 94–95°F bin and the 26% for 96–97°F, as current conditions sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 93°F. Stable steering patterns and limited cloud cover support modest afternoon warming without significant convective cooling or stronger southerly flow that could push readings into the upper 90s. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine the final maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions