Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a high in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on September 3, driven by southwest flow advecting humid air masses amid lingering moisture from prior days. Persistent cloud cover and a 60-70% chance of showers or thunderstorms, especially during peak heating hours, introduce uncertainty that caps extreme warming while supporting the market's leading 84-85°F and 82-83°F bins. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September but hinge on exact timing of convection and boundary-layer mixing, which could shift the daily maximum by a few degrees. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日紐約市的最高溫度？
9月3日紐約市的最高溫度？
84-85°F 36%
82-83°F 27%
86-87°F 18%
80-81°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 36%
82-83°F 27%
86-87°F 18%
80-81°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
75°F or below
$0 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$133 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$232 交易量
2%
80-81°F
$384 交易量
6%
82-83°F
$131 交易量
27%
84-85°F
$104 交易量
36%
86-87°F
$424 交易量
18%
88-89°F
$100 交易量
6%
90-91°F
$35 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$31 交易量
<1%
94°F or higher
$11 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a high in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on September 3, driven by southwest flow advecting humid air masses amid lingering moisture from prior days. Persistent cloud cover and a 60-70% chance of showers or thunderstorms, especially during peak heating hours, introduce uncertainty that caps extreme warming while supporting the market's leading 84-85°F and 82-83°F bins. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September but hinge on exact timing of convection and boundary-layer mixing, which could shift the daily maximum by a few degrees. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
交易量
$1,584結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a high in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on September 3, driven by southwest flow advecting humid air masses amid lingering moisture from prior days. Persistent cloud cover and a 60-70% chance of showers or thunderstorms, especially during peak heating hours, introduce uncertainty that caps extreme warming while supporting the market's leading 84-85°F and 82-83°F bins. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September but hinge on exact timing of convection and boundary-layer mixing, which could shift the daily maximum by a few degrees. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,584結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a high in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on September 3, driven by southwest flow advecting humid air masses amid lingering moisture from prior days. Persistent cloud cover and a 60-70% chance of showers or thunderstorms, especially during peak heating hours, introduce uncertainty that caps extreme warming while supporting the market's leading 84-85°F and 82-83°F bins. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September but hinge on exact timing of convection and boundary-layer mixing, which could shift the daily maximum by a few degrees. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions