Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and local outlets converge on a high of 88–92°F for Denver on September 3 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that will maximize daytime solar heating. This pattern places the 90–91°F and 92–93°F ranges as the strongest market-implied outcomes, consistent with recent model runs showing above the 84°F climatological average yet well below the 97°F record. Dry downslope flow and high pressure maintain stable, warming conditions with negligible precipitation risk, limiting upside potential for 94°F+ while supporting the current trader consensus around the low-90s threshold. Updated guidance through the afternoon of September 2 has shown little shift, keeping probabilities anchored to these bins ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日丹佛的最高溫度?
90-91°F 55%
92-93°F 33%
88-89°F 8%
94-95°F 6%
華氏81度或以下
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
55%
92-93°F
33%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
華氏100度或以上
2%
90-91°F 55%
92-93°F 33%
88-89°F 8%
94-95°F 6%
華氏81度或以下
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
55%
92-93°F
33%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
華氏100度或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and local outlets converge on a high of 88–92°F for Denver on September 3 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that will maximize daytime solar heating. This pattern places the 90–91°F and 92–93°F ranges as the strongest market-implied outcomes, consistent with recent model runs showing above the 84°F climatological average yet well below the 97°F record. Dry downslope flow and high pressure maintain stable, warming conditions with negligible precipitation risk, limiting upside potential for 94°F+ while supporting the current trader consensus around the low-90s threshold. Updated guidance through the afternoon of September 2 has shown little shift, keeping probabilities anchored to these bins ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions