Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high in the upper 80s for Miami on September 4, driven by persistent southeast flow, deep moisture, and afternoon convection expected to limit surface heating. High precipitable water values above 2 inches and CAPE in the 2500–4000 J/kg range favor scattered to numerous thunderstorms, with sea-breeze boundaries and any lingering influence from prior tropical moisture enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that caps peak readings. The close market-implied odds between 88–89°F and 90–91°F reflect trader weighting of uncertainty in storm timing and intensity, as earlier or weaker convection could allow brief spikes while stronger activity favors the lower end of the range. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日邁阿密的最高溫度？
9月4日邁阿密的最高溫度？
90-91°F 43%
88-89°F 36%
92-93°F 10%
82-83°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
華氏79度或以下
1%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
43%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
6%
98°F或更高
2%
90-91°F 43%
88-89°F 36%
92-93°F 10%
82-83°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
華氏79度或以下
$0 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
6%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
8%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
8%
86-87°F
$62 交易量
6%
88-89°F
$79 交易量
36%
90-91°F
$107 交易量
43%
92-93°F
$25 交易量
10%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
6%
96-97°F
$0 交易量
6%
98°F或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high in the upper 80s for Miami on September 4, driven by persistent southeast flow, deep moisture, and afternoon convection expected to limit surface heating. High precipitable water values above 2 inches and CAPE in the 2500–4000 J/kg range favor scattered to numerous thunderstorms, with sea-breeze boundaries and any lingering influence from prior tropical moisture enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that caps peak readings. The close market-implied odds between 88–89°F and 90–91°F reflect trader weighting of uncertainty in storm timing and intensity, as earlier or weaker convection could allow brief spikes while stronger activity favors the lower end of the range. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$272結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high in the upper 80s for Miami on September 4, driven by persistent southeast flow, deep moisture, and afternoon convection expected to limit surface heating. High precipitable water values above 2 inches and CAPE in the 2500–4000 J/kg range favor scattered to numerous thunderstorms, with sea-breeze boundaries and any lingering influence from prior tropical moisture enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that caps peak readings. The close market-implied odds between 88–89°F and 90–91°F reflect trader weighting of uncertainty in storm timing and intensity, as earlier or weaker convection could allow brief spikes while stronger activity favors the lower end of the range. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$272結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high in the upper 80s for Miami on September 4, driven by persistent southeast flow, deep moisture, and afternoon convection expected to limit surface heating. High precipitable water values above 2 inches and CAPE in the 2500–4000 J/kg range favor scattered to numerous thunderstorms, with sea-breeze boundaries and any lingering influence from prior tropical moisture enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that caps peak readings. The close market-implied odds between 88–89°F and 90–91°F reflect trader weighting of uncertainty in storm timing and intensity, as earlier or weaker convection could allow brief spikes while stronger activity favors the lower end of the range. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions