Recent numerical weather prediction models from regional and global centers forecast a daily maximum near 30–31°C in Shenzhen on September 2, driven by lingering monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity further moderate afternoon temperatures compared with drier midsummer conditions, while any reduction in rainfall or partial clearing could allow readings to reach 31°C or slightly higher. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 29–31°C, consistent with September climatology of 30–32°C highs and the inherent uncertainty in short-range convective forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日深圳最高溫度?
30°C 32%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
8%
29°C
28%
30°C
32%
31°C
20%
32°C
11%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
7%
30°C 32%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
8%
29°C
28%
30°C
32%
31°C
20%
32°C
11%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction models from regional and global centers forecast a daily maximum near 30–31°C in Shenzhen on September 2, driven by lingering monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity further moderate afternoon temperatures compared with drier midsummer conditions, while any reduction in rainfall or partial clearing could allow readings to reach 31°C or slightly higher. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 29–31°C, consistent with September climatology of 30–32°C highs and the inherent uncertainty in short-range convective forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions