Strong El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 indices already exceeding +1.8°C and models favoring a historically intense event through fall, represent the dominant influence on Pacific Northwest precipitation patterns. This setup typically strengthens the subtropical high early in September, favoring drier conditions and suppressing early-month rainfall, while later-season storm tracks may deliver variable totals. Seattle’s climatological September average of 1.6 inches masks wide historical swings (0–6+ inches), with recent years often below 1 inch. Trader consensus around sub-2-inch outcomes reflects the high likelihood of a dry start offset by uncertain late-month systems, with model spread and the precise timing of Pacific storm intrusions creating the close probabilities across bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於西雅圖9月份有降水嗎？
西雅圖9月份有降水嗎？
<1" 26%
1-1.5" 20%
1.5-2" 17%
2.5-3" 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
<1"
26%
1-1.5"
20%
1.5-2"
17%
2.5-3"
16%
2-2.5"
14%
3-4"
11%
>4"
7%
<1" 26%
1-1.5" 20%
1.5-2" 17%
2.5-3" 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
<1"
$156 交易量
26%
1-1.5"
$118 交易量
20%
1.5-2"
$112 交易量
17%
2.5-3"
$182 交易量
16%
2-2.5"
$130 交易量
14%
3-4"
$203 交易量
11%
>4"
$203 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 indices already exceeding +1.8°C and models favoring a historically intense event through fall, represent the dominant influence on Pacific Northwest precipitation patterns. This setup typically strengthens the subtropical high early in September, favoring drier conditions and suppressing early-month rainfall, while later-season storm tracks may deliver variable totals. Seattle’s climatological September average of 1.6 inches masks wide historical swings (0–6+ inches), with recent years often below 1 inch. Trader consensus around sub-2-inch outcomes reflects the high likelihood of a dry start offset by uncertain late-month systems, with model spread and the precise timing of Pacific storm intrusions creating the close probabilities across bins.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 9:43 AM ET
交易量
$1,104結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 9:43 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 indices already exceeding +1.8°C and models favoring a historically intense event through fall, represent the dominant influence on Pacific Northwest precipitation patterns. This setup typically strengthens the subtropical high early in September, favoring drier conditions and suppressing early-month rainfall, while later-season storm tracks may deliver variable totals. Seattle’s climatological September average of 1.6 inches masks wide historical swings (0–6+ inches), with recent years often below 1 inch. Trader consensus around sub-2-inch outcomes reflects the high likelihood of a dry start offset by uncertain late-month systems, with model spread and the precise timing of Pacific storm intrusions creating the close probabilities across bins.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,104結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 9:43 AM ETStrong El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 indices already exceeding +1.8°C and models favoring a historically intense event through fall, represent the dominant influence on Pacific Northwest precipitation patterns. This setup typically strengthens the subtropical high early in September, favoring drier conditions and suppressing early-month rainfall, while later-season storm tracks may deliver variable totals. Seattle’s climatological September average of 1.6 inches masks wide historical swings (0–6+ inches), with recent years often below 1 inch. Trader consensus around sub-2-inch outcomes reflects the high likelihood of a dry start offset by uncertain late-month systems, with model spread and the precise timing of Pacific storm intrusions creating the close probabilities across bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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