Strong trader consensus favoring "No" at 94.5% reflects the absence of any World Health Organization pandemic declaration through September 2026, despite the Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, which prompted a public health emergency of international concern in May. Official CDC and WHO surveillance shows only localized transmission without sustained global human-to-human spread or novel pathogen emergence meeting pandemic criteria. Historical patterns confirm such events remain infrequent, requiring specific combinations of high transmissibility, immune evasion, and rapid escalation not observed in current respiratory viruses, avian influenza, or zoonotic threats. An unexpected mutation enabling efficient airborne transmission or a major surveillance gap before December 31 could still alter outcomes.