**Low summer influenza activity keeps weekly U.S. hospitalization rates near the 0.1 per 100,000 threshold.** CDC FluSurv-NET data for Week 33 (ending August 22, 2026) recorded a preliminary rate of exactly 0.1 per 100,000, while NHSN reported 0.2 per 100,000; both align with the typical near-zero transmission outside the October–May season. Historical FluSurv-NET patterns confirm rates this low persist through late August, driven by warmer temperatures reducing aerosol stability and indoor crowding that limit influenza A and B spread. With 2025–26 cumulative rates already elevated from the prior winter peak but now minimal, traders weigh small week-to-week fluctuations from reporting lags, testing volume, or minor southern-hemisphere strain introductions against the baseline. The near-even market split around 0.1, >0.1, and <0.1 reflects this genuine measurement uncertainty rather than any shift in underlying epidemiology.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年第34周流感住院率?
0.1 51%
<0.1 50%
>0.1 45%
<0.1
50%
0.1
51%
>0.1
45%
0.1 51%
<0.1 50%
>0.1 45%
<0.1
50%
0.1
51%
>0.1
45%
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
**Low summer influenza activity keeps weekly U.S. hospitalization rates near the 0.1 per 100,000 threshold.** CDC FluSurv-NET data for Week 33 (ending August 22, 2026) recorded a preliminary rate of exactly 0.1 per 100,000, while NHSN reported 0.2 per 100,000; both align with the typical near-zero transmission outside the October–May season. Historical FluSurv-NET patterns confirm rates this low persist through late August, driven by warmer temperatures reducing aerosol stability and indoor crowding that limit influenza A and B spread. With 2025–26 cumulative rates already elevated from the prior winter peak but now minimal, traders weigh small week-to-week fluctuations from reporting lags, testing volume, or minor southern-hemisphere strain introductions against the baseline. The near-even market split around 0.1, >0.1, and <0.1 reflects this genuine measurement uncertainty rather than any shift in underlying epidemiology.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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