Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 1 most likely between 30–32°C, driven by persistent monsoon-influenced cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds limiting daytime heating. Late August's heavy rainfall pattern is expected to continue, with high humidity and precipitation suppressing peaks near the seasonal average of 31–32°C. Key variables include the exact timing and intensity of any rain bands or breaks in cloud cover, which could allow brief clearing to push readings to 33°C or cap them at 30°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these projections amid inherent short-term model uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日深圳最高溫度?
31°C 34%
32°C 25%
30°C 21%
29°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
21%
31°C
34%
32°C
25%
33°C
7%
34°C or higher
7%
31°C 34%
32°C 25%
30°C 21%
29°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
21%
31°C
34%
32°C
25%
33°C
7%
34°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 1 most likely between 30–32°C, driven by persistent monsoon-influenced cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds limiting daytime heating. Late August's heavy rainfall pattern is expected to continue, with high humidity and precipitation suppressing peaks near the seasonal average of 31–32°C. Key variables include the exact timing and intensity of any rain bands or breaks in cloud cover, which could allow brief clearing to push readings to 33°C or cap them at 30°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these projections amid inherent short-term model uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions