Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's August 31 high will likely fall between 29–31°C under persistent monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating. Recent heavy rainfall through August 28–30 has already suppressed temperatures, keeping recent daily maxima near 29–33°C. Subtropical summer patterns in the region typically see peaks moderated by frequent convection, with official agencies noting only modest warming potential ahead of the date. Trader consensus around 30–32°C reflects this narrow range and inherent uncertainty in shower timing and intensity within numerical weather prediction outputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日深圳最高溫度?
31°C 34%
30°C 22%
32°C 22%
29°C 16%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
16%
30°C
22%
31°C
34%
32°C
22%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 34%
30°C 22%
32°C 22%
29°C 16%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
16%
30°C
22%
31°C
34%
32°C
22%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's August 31 high will likely fall between 29–31°C under persistent monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating. Recent heavy rainfall through August 28–30 has already suppressed temperatures, keeping recent daily maxima near 29–33°C. Subtropical summer patterns in the region typically see peaks moderated by frequent convection, with official agencies noting only modest warming potential ahead of the date. Trader consensus around 30–32°C reflects this narrow range and inherent uncertainty in shower timing and intensity within numerical weather prediction outputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions