**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daytime high in Guangzhou likely peaking near 34–36°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity typical of late-summer subtropical conditions.** Model runs and official guidance converge on afternoon maxima in this range due to weak steering winds, urban heat retention, and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating before any convective activity develops. Earlier August heat episodes and seasonal norms around 33°C provide context, while today’s rain probabilities (30–70% in some outlooks) may cap extremes below 37–38°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 58.5% implied probability for 36°C and 24.5% for 37°C, aligns with this narrow band of model outputs and the low likelihood of outlier intensification or cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日廣州最高溫度？
8月29日廣州最高溫度？
36°C 60%
37°C 31%
35°C 7%
38°C 5%
最新
$20,761 交易量
最新
$20,761 交易量
2026-08-29
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
7%
36°C
60%
37°C
31%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C或更高
<1%
36°C 60%
37°C 31%
35°C 7%
38°C 5%
最新
$20,761 交易量
最新
$20,761 交易量
2026-08-29
31°C或以下
$1,051 交易量
<1%
32°C
$2,004 交易量
<1%
33°C
$2,836 交易量
<1%
34°C
$1,762 交易量
1%
35°C
$2,554 交易量
7%
36°C
$1,527 交易量
60%
37°C
$3,029 交易量
31%
38°C
$3,624 交易量
5%
39°C
$1,821 交易量
1%
40°C
$295 交易量
<1%
41°C或更高
$258 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daytime high in Guangzhou likely peaking near 34–36°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity typical of late-summer subtropical conditions.** Model runs and official guidance converge on afternoon maxima in this range due to weak steering winds, urban heat retention, and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating before any convective activity develops. Earlier August heat episodes and seasonal norms around 33°C provide context, while today’s rain probabilities (30–70% in some outlooks) may cap extremes below 37–38°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 58.5% implied probability for 36°C and 24.5% for 37°C, aligns with this narrow band of model outputs and the low likelihood of outlier intensification or cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$20,761結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daytime high in Guangzhou likely peaking near 34–36°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity typical of late-summer subtropical conditions.** Model runs and official guidance converge on afternoon maxima in this range due to weak steering winds, urban heat retention, and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating before any convective activity develops. Earlier August heat episodes and seasonal norms around 33°C provide context, while today’s rain probabilities (30–70% in some outlooks) may cap extremes below 37–38°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 58.5% implied probability for 36°C and 24.5% for 37°C, aligns with this narrow band of model outputs and the low likelihood of outlier intensification or cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,761結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daytime high in Guangzhou likely peaking near 34–36°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity typical of late-summer subtropical conditions.** Model runs and official guidance converge on afternoon maxima in this range due to weak steering winds, urban heat retention, and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating before any convective activity develops. Earlier August heat episodes and seasonal norms around 33°C provide context, while today’s rain probabilities (30–70% in some outlooks) may cap extremes below 37–38°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 58.5% implied probability for 36°C and 24.5% for 37°C, aligns with this narrow band of model outputs and the low likelihood of outlier intensification or cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions