Official forecasts from agencies monitoring Shanghai’s subtropical climate, including model runs incorporating high humidity, light easterly winds, and partial cloud cover, have consistently pointed to a daily maximum near 31°C for August 29. These conditions suppress intense surface heating while supporting modest convective activity, aligning with observed hourly readings that peaked in the low 30s without exceeding the market threshold. The 100% market-implied probability reflects trader consensus on this stable pattern backed by real-time station data. Unanticipated clearing skies or a sharper drop in moisture could allow brief additional warming and push readings higher, though current steering patterns make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日上海最高溫度？
8月29日上海最高溫度？
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$71,879 交易量
$71,879 交易量
2026-08-29
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$71,879 交易量
$71,879 交易量
2026-08-29
26°C or below
$278 交易量
No
27°C
$1,436 交易量
No
28°C
$2,444 交易量
No
29°C
$3,357 交易量
No
30°C
$16,193 交易量
No
31°C
$14,947 交易量
Yes
32°C
$13,456 交易量
No
33°C
$13,950 交易量
No
34°C
$4,631 交易量
No
35°C
$704 交易量
No
36°C or higher
$482 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies monitoring Shanghai’s subtropical climate, including model runs incorporating high humidity, light easterly winds, and partial cloud cover, have consistently pointed to a daily maximum near 31°C for August 29. These conditions suppress intense surface heating while supporting modest convective activity, aligning with observed hourly readings that peaked in the low 30s without exceeding the market threshold. The 100% market-implied probability reflects trader consensus on this stable pattern backed by real-time station data. Unanticipated clearing skies or a sharper drop in moisture could allow brief additional warming and push readings higher, though current steering patterns make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$71,879結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies monitoring Shanghai’s subtropical climate, including model runs incorporating high humidity, light easterly winds, and partial cloud cover, have consistently pointed to a daily maximum near 31°C for August 29. These conditions suppress intense surface heating while supporting modest convective activity, aligning with observed hourly readings that peaked in the low 30s without exceeding the market threshold. The 100% market-implied probability reflects trader consensus on this stable pattern backed by real-time station data. Unanticipated clearing skies or a sharper drop in moisture could allow brief additional warming and push readings higher, though current steering patterns make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$71,879結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official forecasts from agencies monitoring Shanghai’s subtropical climate, including model runs incorporating high humidity, light easterly winds, and partial cloud cover, have consistently pointed to a daily maximum near 31°C for August 29. These conditions suppress intense surface heating while supporting modest convective activity, aligning with observed hourly readings that peaked in the low 30s without exceeding the market threshold. The 100% market-implied probability reflects trader consensus on this stable pattern backed by real-time station data. Unanticipated clearing skies or a sharper drop in moisture could allow brief additional warming and push readings higher, though current steering patterns make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions