**Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau highlight incoming strong rainfall and northerly cold air advection as the dominant cooling drivers for August 29.** A weather system bringing mid-to-heavy rain (locally torrential in western districts) and 6–9 level gusts is expected to limit solar insolation, enhance evaporative cooling, and suppress daytime maxima, particularly in central and western Chongqing. Official guidance projects 27–31°C highs in these areas versus 33–36°C farther east, placing the city-wide peak squarely in the narrow 28–30°C band that dominates market pricing. **Model consensus across sources clusters around 29–30°C as the most probable peak, with 28°C remaining plausible if rainfall arrives earlier or is more intense.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity (often >70–80% in the Sichuan Basin), and reduced boundary-layer mixing differentiate these outcomes from higher probabilities. Historical August averages near 31°C underscore how atypical the current synoptic pattern is, while the close spread in implied probabilities (29°C at 29.5%, 30°C at 22.5%, 28°C at 19%) reflects genuine uncertainty in exact rain timing and local orographic effects ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日重慶氣溫最高？
8月29日重慶氣溫最高？
29°C 31%
30°C 26%
28°C 19%
31°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
19%
29°C
31%
30°C
26%
31°C
14%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 31%
30°C 26%
28°C 19%
31°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
24°C or below
$325 交易量
<1%
25°C
$288 交易量
<1%
26°C
$185 交易量
1%
27°C
$761 交易量
5%
28°C
$1,042 交易量
19%
29°C
$606 交易量
31%
30°C
$798 交易量
26%
31°C
$319 交易量
14%
32°C
$459 交易量
3%
33°C
$246 交易量
1%
34°C or higher
$1,442 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau highlight incoming strong rainfall and northerly cold air advection as the dominant cooling drivers for August 29.** A weather system bringing mid-to-heavy rain (locally torrential in western districts) and 6–9 level gusts is expected to limit solar insolation, enhance evaporative cooling, and suppress daytime maxima, particularly in central and western Chongqing. Official guidance projects 27–31°C highs in these areas versus 33–36°C farther east, placing the city-wide peak squarely in the narrow 28–30°C band that dominates market pricing.
**Model consensus across sources clusters around 29–30°C as the most probable peak, with 28°C remaining plausible if rainfall arrives earlier or is more intense.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity (often >70–80% in the Sichuan Basin), and reduced boundary-layer mixing differentiate these outcomes from higher probabilities. Historical August averages near 31°C underscore how atypical the current synoptic pattern is, while the close spread in implied probabilities (29°C at 29.5%, 30°C at 22.5%, 28°C at 19%) reflects genuine uncertainty in exact rain timing and local orographic effects ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$6,470結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau highlight incoming strong rainfall and northerly cold air advection as the dominant cooling drivers for August 29.** A weather system bringing mid-to-heavy rain (locally torrential in western districts) and 6–9 level gusts is expected to limit solar insolation, enhance evaporative cooling, and suppress daytime maxima, particularly in central and western Chongqing. Official guidance projects 27–31°C highs in these areas versus 33–36°C farther east, placing the city-wide peak squarely in the narrow 28–30°C band that dominates market pricing.
**Model consensus across sources clusters around 29–30°C as the most probable peak, with 28°C remaining plausible if rainfall arrives earlier or is more intense.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity (often >70–80% in the Sichuan Basin), and reduced boundary-layer mixing differentiate these outcomes from higher probabilities. Historical August averages near 31°C underscore how atypical the current synoptic pattern is, while the close spread in implied probabilities (29°C at 29.5%, 30°C at 22.5%, 28°C at 19%) reflects genuine uncertainty in exact rain timing and local orographic effects ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,470結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau highlight incoming strong rainfall and northerly cold air advection as the dominant cooling drivers for August 29.** A weather system bringing mid-to-heavy rain (locally torrential in western districts) and 6–9 level gusts is expected to limit solar insolation, enhance evaporative cooling, and suppress daytime maxima, particularly in central and western Chongqing. Official guidance projects 27–31°C highs in these areas versus 33–36°C farther east, placing the city-wide peak squarely in the narrow 28–30°C band that dominates market pricing. **Model consensus across sources clusters around 29–30°C as the most probable peak, with 28°C remaining plausible if rainfall arrives earlier or is more intense.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity (often >70–80% in the Sichuan Basin), and reduced boundary-layer mixing differentiate these outcomes from higher probabilities. Historical August averages near 31°C underscore how atypical the current synoptic pattern is, while the close spread in implied probabilities (29°C at 29.5%, 30°C at 22.5%, 28°C at 19%) reflects genuine uncertainty in exact rain timing and local orographic effects ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions