**Market-implied odds strongly favor a highest temperature of 25°C or higher in London on August 28, 2026, backed by real-time observations showing afternoon peaks near or above this threshold.** Southwesterly flow advected milder maritime air across southern England, supporting daytime maxima around 22–25°C under partly cloudy skies with limited precipitation. Official Met Office and station data from Heathrow recorded values climbing to approximately 25°C midday, consistent with late-summer climatology where August highs frequently reach the mid-20s when blocking patterns or warm advection dominate. Traders' near-certain consensus reflects verified station readings and short-range model agreement rather than speculation. A realistic challenge would require rapid post-peak cooling, localized measurement discrepancies between urban and airport sites, or revised official verification placing the daily maximum below 25°C, though current data make such outcomes unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月28日倫敦的最高溫度？
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$66,332 交易量
$66,332 交易量
2026-08-28
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$66,332 交易量
$66,332 交易量
2026-08-28
15°C or below
$289 交易量
No
16°C
$215 交易量
No
17°C
$205 交易量
No
18°C
$990 交易量
No
19°C
$1,243 交易量
No
20°C
$2,359 交易量
No
21°C
$3,086 交易量
No
22°C
$7,866 交易量
No
23°C
$12,839 交易量
No
24°C
$23,238 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$14,001 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor a highest temperature of 25°C or higher in London on August 28, 2026, backed by real-time observations showing afternoon peaks near or above this threshold.** Southwesterly flow advected milder maritime air across southern England, supporting daytime maxima around 22–25°C under partly cloudy skies with limited precipitation. Official Met Office and station data from Heathrow recorded values climbing to approximately 25°C midday, consistent with late-summer climatology where August highs frequently reach the mid-20s when blocking patterns or warm advection dominate. Traders' near-certain consensus reflects verified station readings and short-range model agreement rather than speculation. A realistic challenge would require rapid post-peak cooling, localized measurement discrepancies between urban and airport sites, or revised official verification placing the daily maximum below 25°C, though current data make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$66,332結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor a highest temperature of 25°C or higher in London on August 28, 2026, backed by real-time observations showing afternoon peaks near or above this threshold.** Southwesterly flow advected milder maritime air across southern England, supporting daytime maxima around 22–25°C under partly cloudy skies with limited precipitation. Official Met Office and station data from Heathrow recorded values climbing to approximately 25°C midday, consistent with late-summer climatology where August highs frequently reach the mid-20s when blocking patterns or warm advection dominate. Traders' near-certain consensus reflects verified station readings and short-range model agreement rather than speculation. A realistic challenge would require rapid post-peak cooling, localized measurement discrepancies between urban and airport sites, or revised official verification placing the daily maximum below 25°C, though current data make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$66,332結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Market-implied odds strongly favor a highest temperature of 25°C or higher in London on August 28, 2026, backed by real-time observations showing afternoon peaks near or above this threshold.** Southwesterly flow advected milder maritime air across southern England, supporting daytime maxima around 22–25°C under partly cloudy skies with limited precipitation. Official Met Office and station data from Heathrow recorded values climbing to approximately 25°C midday, consistent with late-summer climatology where August highs frequently reach the mid-20s when blocking patterns or warm advection dominate. Traders' near-certain consensus reflects verified station readings and short-range model agreement rather than speculation. A realistic challenge would require rapid post-peak cooling, localized measurement discrepancies between urban and airport sites, or revised official verification placing the daily maximum below 25°C, though current data make such outcomes unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions