Official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 74°F on September 1, 2026, just 3°F above the 1991–2020 normal low of 71°F amid persistent warm advection and clear skies overnight. This verified reading underpins the market’s 95.5% implied probability for the 74–75°F bin, reflecting trader alignment with real-time station data rather than model forecasts. Historical analogs show September 1 lows rarely dip below 67°F in recent decades, while measurement differences across city stations or minor timing shifts in the daily minimum could theoretically affect resolution if alternative criteria apply.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日奧斯汀最低溫度？
9月1日奧斯汀最低溫度？
74-75°F 100%
67華氏度或以下 <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$848 交易量
$848 交易量
2026-09-01
67華氏度或以下
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
是
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
華氏86度或更高
否
74-75°F 100%
67華氏度或以下 <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$848 交易量
$848 交易量
2026-09-01
67華氏度或以下
$36 交易量
否
68-69°F
$80 交易量
否
70-71°F
$0 交易量
否
72-73°F
$82 交易量
否
74-75°F
$274 交易量
是
76-77°F
$29 交易量
否
78-79°F
$35 交易量
否
80-81°F
$38 交易量
否
82-83°F
$127 交易量
否
84-85°F
$65 交易量
否
華氏86度或更高
$82 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 74°F on September 1, 2026, just 3°F above the 1991–2020 normal low of 71°F amid persistent warm advection and clear skies overnight. This verified reading underpins the market’s 95.5% implied probability for the 74–75°F bin, reflecting trader alignment with real-time station data rather than model forecasts. Historical analogs show September 1 lows rarely dip below 67°F in recent decades, while measurement differences across city stations or minor timing shifts in the daily minimum could theoretically affect resolution if alternative criteria apply.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$848結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 74°F on September 1, 2026, just 3°F above the 1991–2020 normal low of 71°F amid persistent warm advection and clear skies overnight. This verified reading underpins the market’s 95.5% implied probability for the 74–75°F bin, reflecting trader alignment with real-time station data rather than model forecasts. Historical analogs show September 1 lows rarely dip below 67°F in recent decades, while measurement differences across city stations or minor timing shifts in the daily minimum could theoretically affect resolution if alternative criteria apply.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$848結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 74°F on September 1, 2026, just 3°F above the 1991–2020 normal low of 71°F amid persistent warm advection and clear skies overnight. This verified reading underpins the market’s 95.5% implied probability for the 74–75°F bin, reflecting trader alignment with real-time station data rather than model forecasts. Historical analogs show September 1 lows rarely dip below 67°F in recent decades, while measurement differences across city stations or minor timing shifts in the daily minimum could theoretically affect resolution if alternative criteria apply.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions