**Latest numerical weather models from sources like WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and regional forecasts show Qingdao under mostly sunny to clear skies on September 1 with a northerly wind flow, supporting a daytime high near 27–28°C (roughly 80–82°F).** This aligns with early-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region, where highs typically average 26–28°C amid transitional post-monsoon conditions and moderate humidity. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty in peak temperature, driven by variables such as exact wind speeds (stronger northerlies can limit surface heating), minor cloud development, and model resolution of local sea-breeze effects. No major synoptic shifts or extreme events have altered the baseline outlook in the past 48 hours, leaving traders focused on the latest model runs and official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies for any last adjustments before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日青島氣溫最高？
9月1日青島氣溫最高？
29°C 34%
28°C 27%
30°C 27%
32°C或以上 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
11%
28°C
27%
29°C
34%
30°C
27%
31°C
11%
32°C或以上
17%
29°C 34%
28°C 27%
30°C 27%
32°C或以上 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
22°C或以下
$376 交易量
<1%
23°C
$376 交易量
<1%
24°C
$376 交易量
<1%
25°C
$0 交易量
1%
26°C
$0 交易量
3%
27°C
$2 交易量
11%
28°C
$33 交易量
27%
29°C
$1 交易量
34%
30°C
$43 交易量
27%
31°C
$0 交易量
11%
32°C或以上
$0 交易量
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather models from sources like WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and regional forecasts show Qingdao under mostly sunny to clear skies on September 1 with a northerly wind flow, supporting a daytime high near 27–28°C (roughly 80–82°F).** This aligns with early-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region, where highs typically average 26–28°C amid transitional post-monsoon conditions and moderate humidity.
The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty in peak temperature, driven by variables such as exact wind speeds (stronger northerlies can limit surface heating), minor cloud development, and model resolution of local sea-breeze effects. No major synoptic shifts or extreme events have altered the baseline outlook in the past 48 hours, leaving traders focused on the latest model runs and official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$1,207結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather models from sources like WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and regional forecasts show Qingdao under mostly sunny to clear skies on September 1 with a northerly wind flow, supporting a daytime high near 27–28°C (roughly 80–82°F).** This aligns with early-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region, where highs typically average 26–28°C amid transitional post-monsoon conditions and moderate humidity.
The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty in peak temperature, driven by variables such as exact wind speeds (stronger northerlies can limit surface heating), minor cloud development, and model resolution of local sea-breeze effects. No major synoptic shifts or extreme events have altered the baseline outlook in the past 48 hours, leaving traders focused on the latest model runs and official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,207結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Latest numerical weather models from sources like WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and regional forecasts show Qingdao under mostly sunny to clear skies on September 1 with a northerly wind flow, supporting a daytime high near 27–28°C (roughly 80–82°F).** This aligns with early-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region, where highs typically average 26–28°C amid transitional post-monsoon conditions and moderate humidity. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty in peak temperature, driven by variables such as exact wind speeds (stronger northerlies can limit surface heating), minor cloud development, and model resolution of local sea-breeze effects. No major synoptic shifts or extreme events have altered the baseline outlook in the past 48 hours, leaving traders focused on the latest model runs and official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies for any last adjustments before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions