Market consensus on a 20°C maximum reflects official forecasts from the South African Weather Service projecting a daytime high of exactly 20°C under stable early-spring anticyclonic conditions, with light southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and afternoon model peaks consistently reaching but not exceeding that threshold. Real-time observations and ensemble guidance from multiple sources align closely with historical September baselines around 18–20°C, reinforcing trader positioning as the day advances without signs of intensification. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include localized wind shifts promoting brief warming or station-specific measurement variances, though current atmospheric stability makes significant deviations unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦9月1日最高溫度？
開普敦9月1日最高溫度？
20°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$21,792 交易量
$21,792 交易量
2026-09-01
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
20°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$21,792 交易量
$21,792 交易量
2026-09-01
15°C或以下
$436 交易量
否
16°C
$269 交易量
否
17°C
$1,888 交易量
否
18°C
$6,402 交易量
否
19°C
$3,074 交易量
否
20°C
$3,726 交易量
是
21°C
$3,620 交易量
否
22°C
$382 交易量
否
23°C
$670 交易量
否
24°C
$1,067 交易量
否
25°C或更高
$258 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market consensus on a 20°C maximum reflects official forecasts from the South African Weather Service projecting a daytime high of exactly 20°C under stable early-spring anticyclonic conditions, with light southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and afternoon model peaks consistently reaching but not exceeding that threshold. Real-time observations and ensemble guidance from multiple sources align closely with historical September baselines around 18–20°C, reinforcing trader positioning as the day advances without signs of intensification. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include localized wind shifts promoting brief warming or station-specific measurement variances, though current atmospheric stability makes significant deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$21,792結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market consensus on a 20°C maximum reflects official forecasts from the South African Weather Service projecting a daytime high of exactly 20°C under stable early-spring anticyclonic conditions, with light southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and afternoon model peaks consistently reaching but not exceeding that threshold. Real-time observations and ensemble guidance from multiple sources align closely with historical September baselines around 18–20°C, reinforcing trader positioning as the day advances without signs of intensification. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include localized wind shifts promoting brief warming or station-specific measurement variances, though current atmospheric stability makes significant deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$21,792結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Market consensus on a 20°C maximum reflects official forecasts from the South African Weather Service projecting a daytime high of exactly 20°C under stable early-spring anticyclonic conditions, with light southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and afternoon model peaks consistently reaching but not exceeding that threshold. Real-time observations and ensemble guidance from multiple sources align closely with historical September baselines around 18–20°C, reinforcing trader positioning as the day advances without signs of intensification. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include localized wind shifts promoting brief warming or station-specific measurement variances, though current atmospheric stability makes significant deviations unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions