Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 3 indicate a high near 15–16°C amid an approaching weather system featuring widespread cloud cover, rain, and strong southeasterly winds exceeding 25–40 km/h. These conditions, typical of a cold front passage in early spring, enhance mixing and evaporative cooling while limiting solar insolation, suppressing the daily maximum relative to clearer, calmer days. Model consensus across sources points to this setup differentiating outcomes around 14–17°C, with resolution hinging on exact rainfall timing and wind gust strength measured at official stations. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will refine probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日開普敦最高溫度?
16°C 30%
15°C 26%
17°C 22%
14°C 22%
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
22%
15°C
26%
16°C
30%
17°C
22%
18°C
10%
19°C
8%
20°C或以上
1%
16°C 30%
15°C 26%
17°C 22%
14°C 22%
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
22%
15°C
26%
16°C
30%
17°C
22%
18°C
10%
19°C
8%
20°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 3 indicate a high near 15–16°C amid an approaching weather system featuring widespread cloud cover, rain, and strong southeasterly winds exceeding 25–40 km/h. These conditions, typical of a cold front passage in early spring, enhance mixing and evaporative cooling while limiting solar insolation, suppressing the daily maximum relative to clearer, calmer days. Model consensus across sources points to this setup differentiating outcomes around 14–17°C, with resolution hinging on exact rainfall timing and wind gust strength measured at official stations. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will refine probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions