Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models place Wuhan's September 1 high near 29–31 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 30 °C (26 %) and 29 °C (24.5 %). A brief cooling episode driven by peripheral flow from western Pacific typhoons and associated rainfall is moderating late-August heat, yet subtropical humidity, light northeasterly winds, and persistent warm advection keep daytime maxima close to the early-September climatological average of roughly 30 °C. Model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, with lighter rain chances on the day itself limiting further cooling. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will sharpen resolution criteria for this single-day temperature market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日武漢氣溫最高？
9月1日武漢氣溫最高？
29°C 27%
30°C 25%
27°C 20%
28°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
16%
29°C
27%
30°C
25%
31°C
12%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
6%
29°C 27%
30°C 25%
27°C 20%
28°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
23°C or below
$120 交易量
<1%
24°C
$40 交易量
<1%
25°C
$0 交易量
1%
26°C
$0 交易量
4%
27°C
$0 交易量
20%
28°C
$0 交易量
16%
29°C
$0 交易量
27%
30°C
$135 交易量
25%
31°C
$164 交易量
12%
32°C
$16 交易量
7%
33°C or higher
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models place Wuhan's September 1 high near 29–31 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 30 °C (26 %) and 29 °C (24.5 %). A brief cooling episode driven by peripheral flow from western Pacific typhoons and associated rainfall is moderating late-August heat, yet subtropical humidity, light northeasterly winds, and persistent warm advection keep daytime maxima close to the early-September climatological average of roughly 30 °C. Model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, with lighter rain chances on the day itself limiting further cooling. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will sharpen resolution criteria for this single-day temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$475結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models place Wuhan's September 1 high near 29–31 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 30 °C (26 %) and 29 °C (24.5 %). A brief cooling episode driven by peripheral flow from western Pacific typhoons and associated rainfall is moderating late-August heat, yet subtropical humidity, light northeasterly winds, and persistent warm advection keep daytime maxima close to the early-September climatological average of roughly 30 °C. Model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, with lighter rain chances on the day itself limiting further cooling. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will sharpen resolution criteria for this single-day temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$475結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological models place Wuhan's September 1 high near 29–31 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 30 °C (26 %) and 29 °C (24.5 %). A brief cooling episode driven by peripheral flow from western Pacific typhoons and associated rainfall is moderating late-August heat, yet subtropical humidity, light northeasterly winds, and persistent warm advection keep daytime maxima close to the early-September climatological average of roughly 30 °C. Model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, with lighter rain chances on the day itself limiting further cooling. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will sharpen resolution criteria for this single-day temperature market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions