Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and Yr.no indicate a high near 31°C for Karachi on September 3, with partly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 15–25 km/h, and humidity around 65–75% supporting modest daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 50% implied probability and the 32°C share at 26%, as September climatology shows typical maxima of 30–32°C during the post-monsoon transition with limited cloud suppression of insolation. Light rain chances remain low (under 20%), reducing evaporative cooling that could otherwise cap temperatures. Updated model runs through early September show little deviation from these ranges, keeping 30°C and lower outcomes at combined 34% as less favored under current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日卡拉奇的最高溫度?
31°C 50%
32°C 27%
30°C 19%
33°C 11%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
19%
31°C
50%
32°C
27%
33°C
11%
34°C
7%
35°C
4%
36°C或以上
<1%
31°C 50%
32°C 27%
30°C 19%
33°C 11%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
19%
31°C
50%
32°C
27%
33°C
11%
34°C
7%
35°C
4%
36°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and Yr.no indicate a high near 31°C for Karachi on September 3, with partly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 15–25 km/h, and humidity around 65–75% supporting modest daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 50% implied probability and the 32°C share at 26%, as September climatology shows typical maxima of 30–32°C during the post-monsoon transition with limited cloud suppression of insolation. Light rain chances remain low (under 20%), reducing evaporative cooling that could otherwise cap temperatures. Updated model runs through early September show little deviation from these ranges, keeping 30°C and lower outcomes at combined 34% as less favored under current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions