Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 30 project a daytime maximum of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon thundershowers, aligning closely with current observations near 32°C and model consensus for peak heat in the early afternoon. This subtropical summer pattern, driven by high pressure and typical August climatology around 32–34°C, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on exactly 35°C. A realistic challenge would arise if earlier or heavier convective rain develops, suppressing the peak below the threshold, or if clearer conditions allow a brief exceedance before official station measurements finalize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日臺北氣溫最高？
8月30日臺北氣溫最高？
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$39,069 交易量
$39,069 交易量
2026-08-30
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$39,069 交易量
$39,069 交易量
2026-08-30
29°C or below
$258 交易量
No
30°C
$215 交易量
No
31°C
$301 交易量
No
32°C
$942 交易量
No
33°C
$14,967 交易量
No
34°C
$6,889 交易量
No
35°C
$4,462 交易量
Yes
36°C
$4,875 交易量
No
37°C
$4,776 交易量
No
38°C
$1,072 交易量
No
39°C or higher
$313 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 30 project a daytime maximum of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon thundershowers, aligning closely with current observations near 32°C and model consensus for peak heat in the early afternoon. This subtropical summer pattern, driven by high pressure and typical August climatology around 32–34°C, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on exactly 35°C. A realistic challenge would arise if earlier or heavier convective rain develops, suppressing the peak below the threshold, or if clearer conditions allow a brief exceedance before official station measurements finalize.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$39,069結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 30 project a daytime maximum of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon thundershowers, aligning closely with current observations near 32°C and model consensus for peak heat in the early afternoon. This subtropical summer pattern, driven by high pressure and typical August climatology around 32–34°C, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on exactly 35°C. A realistic challenge would arise if earlier or heavier convective rain develops, suppressing the peak below the threshold, or if clearer conditions allow a brief exceedance before official station measurements finalize.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$39,069結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 30 project a daytime maximum of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon thundershowers, aligning closely with current observations near 32°C and model consensus for peak heat in the early afternoon. This subtropical summer pattern, driven by high pressure and typical August climatology around 32–34°C, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on exactly 35°C. A realistic challenge would arise if earlier or heavier convective rain develops, suppressing the peak below the threshold, or if clearer conditions allow a brief exceedance before official station measurements finalize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions