Recent rainfall and incoming northern cold air have driven sharp cooling across Chongqing, with official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and international models converging on a maximum of 26–28°C for August 30 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that limit daytime solar heating. This marks a notable departure from the typical late-August average near 31°C, as the combined easterly flow and precipitation suppress temperature recovery. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these lower values because forecasters assign high confidence to continued overcast conditions through the weekend, while minor model differences in exact rainfall timing and intensity create the spread between 26°C and 29°C outcomes. Updated runs expected from the National Meteorological Center will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日重慶氣溫最高？
8月30日重慶氣溫最高？
26°C or below 30%
28°C 19%
27°C 18%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
26°C or below
30%
27°C
18%
28°C
19%
29°C
14%
30°C
9%
31°C
7%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
26°C or below 30%
28°C 19%
27°C 18%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
26°C or below
$201 交易量
30%
27°C
$64 交易量
18%
28°C
$137 交易量
19%
29°C
$77 交易量
14%
30°C
$20 交易量
9%
31°C
$20 交易量
7%
32°C
$0 交易量
4%
33°C
$12 交易量
3%
34°C
$102 交易量
3%
35°C
$1,755 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$745 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and incoming northern cold air have driven sharp cooling across Chongqing, with official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and international models converging on a maximum of 26–28°C for August 30 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that limit daytime solar heating. This marks a notable departure from the typical late-August average near 31°C, as the combined easterly flow and precipitation suppress temperature recovery. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these lower values because forecasters assign high confidence to continued overcast conditions through the weekend, while minor model differences in exact rainfall timing and intensity create the spread between 26°C and 29°C outcomes. Updated runs expected from the National Meteorological Center will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$3,133結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and incoming northern cold air have driven sharp cooling across Chongqing, with official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and international models converging on a maximum of 26–28°C for August 30 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that limit daytime solar heating. This marks a notable departure from the typical late-August average near 31°C, as the combined easterly flow and precipitation suppress temperature recovery. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these lower values because forecasters assign high confidence to continued overcast conditions through the weekend, while minor model differences in exact rainfall timing and intensity create the spread between 26°C and 29°C outcomes. Updated runs expected from the National Meteorological Center will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,133結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent rainfall and incoming northern cold air have driven sharp cooling across Chongqing, with official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and international models converging on a maximum of 26–28°C for August 30 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that limit daytime solar heating. This marks a notable departure from the typical late-August average near 31°C, as the combined easterly flow and precipitation suppress temperature recovery. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these lower values because forecasters assign high confidence to continued overcast conditions through the weekend, while minor model differences in exact rainfall timing and intensity create the spread between 26°C and 29°C outcomes. Updated runs expected from the National Meteorological Center will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions