Recent heavy rainfall and thunderstorms across Shenzhen, driven by the East Asian monsoon, have kept skies overcast and suppressed daytime heating, aligning trader consensus around 32–34°C highs for August 28. Official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau guidance indicates multi-cloud conditions with only scattered short thunderstorms on the 28th, allowing modest solar insolation while high humidity (70–95%) and light winds limit further warming. Ensemble model runs show a narrow range centered near the August climatological average of 32°C, with rain-cooled surfaces and persistent cloud cover differentiating the tightly bunched 32°C (28.5%), 33°C (25.5%), and 34°C (22.5%) outcomes. Updated CMA forecasts and any overnight model shifts will likely decide the final resolution within this narrow band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日深圳最高溫度？
8月28日深圳最高溫度？
32°C 29%
33°C 26%
34°C 23%
31°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
8%
31°C
16%
32°C
29%
33°C
26%
34°C
23%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 29%
33°C 26%
34°C 23%
31°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
26°C or below
$180 交易量
<1%
27°C
$208 交易量
<1%
28°C
$195 交易量
1%
29°C
$247 交易量
6%
30°C
$0 交易量
8%
31°C
$17 交易量
16%
32°C
$13 交易量
29%
33°C
$0 交易量
26%
34°C
$4 交易量
23%
35°C
$131 交易量
5%
36°C or higher
$27 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and thunderstorms across Shenzhen, driven by the East Asian monsoon, have kept skies overcast and suppressed daytime heating, aligning trader consensus around 32–34°C highs for August 28. Official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau guidance indicates multi-cloud conditions with only scattered short thunderstorms on the 28th, allowing modest solar insolation while high humidity (70–95%) and light winds limit further warming. Ensemble model runs show a narrow range centered near the August climatological average of 32°C, with rain-cooled surfaces and persistent cloud cover differentiating the tightly bunched 32°C (28.5%), 33°C (25.5%), and 34°C (22.5%) outcomes. Updated CMA forecasts and any overnight model shifts will likely decide the final resolution within this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$942結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and thunderstorms across Shenzhen, driven by the East Asian monsoon, have kept skies overcast and suppressed daytime heating, aligning trader consensus around 32–34°C highs for August 28. Official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau guidance indicates multi-cloud conditions with only scattered short thunderstorms on the 28th, allowing modest solar insolation while high humidity (70–95%) and light winds limit further warming. Ensemble model runs show a narrow range centered near the August climatological average of 32°C, with rain-cooled surfaces and persistent cloud cover differentiating the tightly bunched 32°C (28.5%), 33°C (25.5%), and 34°C (22.5%) outcomes. Updated CMA forecasts and any overnight model shifts will likely decide the final resolution within this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$942結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent heavy rainfall and thunderstorms across Shenzhen, driven by the East Asian monsoon, have kept skies overcast and suppressed daytime heating, aligning trader consensus around 32–34°C highs for August 28. Official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau guidance indicates multi-cloud conditions with only scattered short thunderstorms on the 28th, allowing modest solar insolation while high humidity (70–95%) and light winds limit further warming. Ensemble model runs show a narrow range centered near the August climatological average of 32°C, with rain-cooled surfaces and persistent cloud cover differentiating the tightly bunched 32°C (28.5%), 33°C (25.5%), and 34°C (22.5%) outcomes. Updated CMA forecasts and any overnight model shifts will likely decide the final resolution within this narrow band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions