Recent forecast guidance from AEMET, GFS, and European models shows persistent anticyclonic conditions over central Spain, with clear skies, light southwesterly flow, and strong daytime insolation expected to produce a daily maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for Madrid on August 30. After a cooler late-August spell with highs in the mid-20s, temperatures are recovering under stable high pressure and low humidity, favoring peak readings near 32–33 °C. Historical climatology places the long-term average high at ~30 °C, yet current model consensus and the absence of cloud cover or frontal activity support the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C, while limiting upside beyond 34 °C unless stronger warm advection develops overnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日馬德裏氣溫最高？
8月30日馬德裏氣溫最高？
33°C 62%
34°C 19%
32°C 18%
31°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
18%
33°C
62%
34°C
19%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 62%
34°C 19%
32°C 18%
31°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
28°C or below
$321 交易量
<1%
29°C
$180 交易量
1%
30°C
$107 交易量
1%
31°C
$140 交易量
2%
32°C
$487 交易量
18%
33°C
$697 交易量
62%
34°C
$1,484 交易量
19%
35°C
$286 交易量
2%
36°C
$92 交易量
<1%
37°C
$70 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$120 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from AEMET, GFS, and European models shows persistent anticyclonic conditions over central Spain, with clear skies, light southwesterly flow, and strong daytime insolation expected to produce a daily maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for Madrid on August 30. After a cooler late-August spell with highs in the mid-20s, temperatures are recovering under stable high pressure and low humidity, favoring peak readings near 32–33 °C. Historical climatology places the long-term average high at ~30 °C, yet current model consensus and the absence of cloud cover or frontal activity support the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C, while limiting upside beyond 34 °C unless stronger warm advection develops overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$3,983結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from AEMET, GFS, and European models shows persistent anticyclonic conditions over central Spain, with clear skies, light southwesterly flow, and strong daytime insolation expected to produce a daily maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for Madrid on August 30. After a cooler late-August spell with highs in the mid-20s, temperatures are recovering under stable high pressure and low humidity, favoring peak readings near 32–33 °C. Historical climatology places the long-term average high at ~30 °C, yet current model consensus and the absence of cloud cover or frontal activity support the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C, while limiting upside beyond 34 °C unless stronger warm advection develops overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,983結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from AEMET, GFS, and European models shows persistent anticyclonic conditions over central Spain, with clear skies, light southwesterly flow, and strong daytime insolation expected to produce a daily maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for Madrid on August 30. After a cooler late-August spell with highs in the mid-20s, temperatures are recovering under stable high pressure and low humidity, favoring peak readings near 32–33 °C. Historical climatology places the long-term average high at ~30 °C, yet current model consensus and the absence of cloud cover or frontal activity support the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C, while limiting upside beyond 34 °C unless stronger warm advection develops overnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions