**Current forecasts for Madrid on August 30, 2026, point to a minimum temperature in the mid-teens Celsius, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling overnight under high pressure.** Recent observations show a cooling trend, with the August 28 minimum reaching 12.4°C—well below the long-term average low of ~18°C for late August—due to northerly flow and reduced daytime heating earlier in the week. Multiple models indicate overnight lows around 14–18°C (roughly 57–64°F), consistent with the market's leading outcomes clustered at 13°C or below (47%) and 15°C (34.5%). These probabilities reflect trader assessment of model consensus on clear conditions persisting into the night, allowing efficient heat loss from the surface without significant cloud cover or wind to mix warmer air downward. Historical records confirm such cooler August nights are possible but uncommon, with the all-time low on this date at 9.2°C. Updated model runs and official agency guidance over the next 24 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日馬德裏最低氣溫？
8月30日馬德裏最低氣溫？
13°C or below 49%
15°C 35%
14°C 24%
17°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
13°C or below
49%
14°C
24%
15°C
35%
16°C
14%
17°C
15%
18°C
15%
19°C
15%
20°C
14%
21°C
13%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
13°C or below 49%
15°C 35%
14°C 24%
17°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
13°C or below
$0 交易量
49%
14°C
$0 交易量
24%
15°C
$0 交易量
35%
16°C
$0 交易量
14%
17°C
$0 交易量
15%
18°C
$0 交易量
15%
19°C
$0 交易量
15%
20°C
$0 交易量
14%
21°C
$5 交易量
13%
22°C
$5 交易量
1%
23°C or higher
$265 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Madrid on August 30, 2026, point to a minimum temperature in the mid-teens Celsius, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling overnight under high pressure.** Recent observations show a cooling trend, with the August 28 minimum reaching 12.4°C—well below the long-term average low of ~18°C for late August—due to northerly flow and reduced daytime heating earlier in the week. Multiple models indicate overnight lows around 14–18°C (roughly 57–64°F), consistent with the market's leading outcomes clustered at 13°C or below (47%) and 15°C (34.5%).
These probabilities reflect trader assessment of model consensus on clear conditions persisting into the night, allowing efficient heat loss from the surface without significant cloud cover or wind to mix warmer air downward. Historical records confirm such cooler August nights are possible but uncommon, with the all-time low on this date at 9.2°C. Updated model runs and official agency guidance over the next 24 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$275結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Madrid on August 30, 2026, point to a minimum temperature in the mid-teens Celsius, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling overnight under high pressure.** Recent observations show a cooling trend, with the August 28 minimum reaching 12.4°C—well below the long-term average low of ~18°C for late August—due to northerly flow and reduced daytime heating earlier in the week. Multiple models indicate overnight lows around 14–18°C (roughly 57–64°F), consistent with the market's leading outcomes clustered at 13°C or below (47%) and 15°C (34.5%).
These probabilities reflect trader assessment of model consensus on clear conditions persisting into the night, allowing efficient heat loss from the surface without significant cloud cover or wind to mix warmer air downward. Historical records confirm such cooler August nights are possible but uncommon, with the all-time low on this date at 9.2°C. Updated model runs and official agency guidance over the next 24 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$275結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Current forecasts for Madrid on August 30, 2026, point to a minimum temperature in the mid-teens Celsius, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling overnight under high pressure.** Recent observations show a cooling trend, with the August 28 minimum reaching 12.4°C—well below the long-term average low of ~18°C for late August—due to northerly flow and reduced daytime heating earlier in the week. Multiple models indicate overnight lows around 14–18°C (roughly 57–64°F), consistent with the market's leading outcomes clustered at 13°C or below (47%) and 15°C (34.5%). These probabilities reflect trader assessment of model consensus on clear conditions persisting into the night, allowing efficient heat loss from the surface without significant cloud cover or wind to mix warmer air downward. Historical records confirm such cooler August nights are possible but uncommon, with the all-time low on this date at 9.2°C. Updated model runs and official agency guidance over the next 24 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions