Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the South African Weather Service and global ensembles show high pressure building over the Western Cape, promoting clear skies and light southerly winds for August 31 that favor modest daytime warming to a peak near 16–17 °C. This consensus aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, where traders weigh minor differences in forecast timing of maximum insolation, wind-driven mixing, and boundary-layer moisture. Late-winter climatology for Cape Town places average highs near 17 °C, so current conditions reflect typical rather than anomalous patterns. Updated model runs and official observations on the 30th–31st will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum at standard stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦8月31日的最高溫度?
17°C 31%
19°C 28%
18°C 27%
16°C 11%
12°C或以下
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
10%
17°C
31%
18°C
27%
19°C
28%
20°C
10%
21°C
4%
22°C或以上
<1%
17°C 31%
19°C 28%
18°C 27%
16°C 11%
12°C或以下
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
10%
17°C
31%
18°C
27%
19°C
28%
20°C
10%
21°C
4%
22°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the South African Weather Service and global ensembles show high pressure building over the Western Cape, promoting clear skies and light southerly winds for August 31 that favor modest daytime warming to a peak near 16–17 °C. This consensus aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, where traders weigh minor differences in forecast timing of maximum insolation, wind-driven mixing, and boundary-layer moisture. Late-winter climatology for Cape Town places average highs near 17 °C, so current conditions reflect typical rather than anomalous patterns. Updated model runs and official observations on the 30th–31st will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum at standard stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions