Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate clearing skies and mostly sunny conditions for Istanbul on August 31 after cooler, rain-affected weather on the 29th, supporting highs of 28–30°C under northerly flow and high pressure. These factors—reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar insolation, light to moderate northeast winds limiting mixing, and seasonal late-August radiative heating—favor readings near the upper end of typical August norms. Minor model spread around boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds creates uncertainty between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, which dominate trader positioning at 48% and 45% implied probability, respectively. Updated official guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於伊斯坦布爾8月31日的最高溫度？
伊斯坦布爾8月31日的最高溫度？
26°C 49%
27°C 41%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
23°C or below
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
49%
27°C
41%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 49%
27°C 41%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
23°C or below
$31 交易量
2%
24°C
$31 交易量
3%
25°C
$73 交易量
5%
26°C
$2,230 交易量
49%
27°C
$348 交易量
41%
28°C
$20 交易量
6%
29°C
$31 交易量
3%
30°C
$20 交易量
<1%
31°C
$20 交易量
<1%
32°C
$20 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$20 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate clearing skies and mostly sunny conditions for Istanbul on August 31 after cooler, rain-affected weather on the 29th, supporting highs of 28–30°C under northerly flow and high pressure. These factors—reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar insolation, light to moderate northeast winds limiting mixing, and seasonal late-August radiative heating—favor readings near the upper end of typical August norms. Minor model spread around boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds creates uncertainty between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, which dominate trader positioning at 48% and 45% implied probability, respectively. Updated official guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$2,716結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate clearing skies and mostly sunny conditions for Istanbul on August 31 after cooler, rain-affected weather on the 29th, supporting highs of 28–30°C under northerly flow and high pressure. These factors—reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar insolation, light to moderate northeast winds limiting mixing, and seasonal late-August radiative heating—favor readings near the upper end of typical August norms. Minor model spread around boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds creates uncertainty between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, which dominate trader positioning at 48% and 45% implied probability, respectively. Updated official guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,716結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate clearing skies and mostly sunny conditions for Istanbul on August 31 after cooler, rain-affected weather on the 29th, supporting highs of 28–30°C under northerly flow and high pressure. These factors—reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar insolation, light to moderate northeast winds limiting mixing, and seasonal late-August radiative heating—favor readings near the upper end of typical August norms. Minor model spread around boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds creates uncertainty between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, which dominate trader positioning at 48% and 45% implied probability, respectively. Updated official guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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