Latest meteorological forecasts position 24–25°C as the leading outcomes for Istanbul’s August 29 maximum, with trader consensus assigning 47.5% and 32.5% implied probabilities respectively. Multiple models show increased cloud cover, 60–80% rain chances, and northerly flow limiting daytime heating on the 29th, keeping peaks below the late-August climatological average near 28–29°C. Ensemble spreads and official guidance converge on this cooler regime, while clearer conditions and rising temperatures are expected afterward. The tight clustering around 24–25°C reflects the market’s assessment of short-term forecast skill for this high-resolution, time-sensitive temperature threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於伊斯坦布爾8月29日的最高溫度？
伊斯坦布爾8月29日的最高溫度？
24°C 53%
25°C 26%
23°C 18%
26°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
18%
24°C
53%
25°C
26%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 53%
25°C 26%
23°C 18%
26°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
19°C or below
$301 交易量
<1%
20°C
$70 交易量
<1%
21°C
$325 交易量
1%
22°C
$183 交易量
2%
23°C
$962 交易量
18%
24°C
$895 交易量
53%
25°C
$911 交易量
26%
26°C
$663 交易量
4%
27°C
$302 交易量
2%
28°C
$253 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$284 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts position 24–25°C as the leading outcomes for Istanbul’s August 29 maximum, with trader consensus assigning 47.5% and 32.5% implied probabilities respectively. Multiple models show increased cloud cover, 60–80% rain chances, and northerly flow limiting daytime heating on the 29th, keeping peaks below the late-August climatological average near 28–29°C. Ensemble spreads and official guidance converge on this cooler regime, while clearer conditions and rising temperatures are expected afterward. The tight clustering around 24–25°C reflects the market’s assessment of short-term forecast skill for this high-resolution, time-sensitive temperature threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$5,149結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts position 24–25°C as the leading outcomes for Istanbul’s August 29 maximum, with trader consensus assigning 47.5% and 32.5% implied probabilities respectively. Multiple models show increased cloud cover, 60–80% rain chances, and northerly flow limiting daytime heating on the 29th, keeping peaks below the late-August climatological average near 28–29°C. Ensemble spreads and official guidance converge on this cooler regime, while clearer conditions and rising temperatures are expected afterward. The tight clustering around 24–25°C reflects the market’s assessment of short-term forecast skill for this high-resolution, time-sensitive temperature threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,149結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts position 24–25°C as the leading outcomes for Istanbul’s August 29 maximum, with trader consensus assigning 47.5% and 32.5% implied probabilities respectively. Multiple models show increased cloud cover, 60–80% rain chances, and northerly flow limiting daytime heating on the 29th, keeping peaks below the late-August climatological average near 28–29°C. Ensemble spreads and official guidance converge on this cooler regime, while clearer conditions and rising temperatures are expected afterward. The tight clustering around 24–25°C reflects the market’s assessment of short-term forecast skill for this high-resolution, time-sensitive temperature threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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