Official meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 28, 2026, indicate a daily maximum temperature of 24–25 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with cooler-than-normal late-summer conditions driven by northerly flow. Multiple model runs and station observations converge on this narrow range, producing the market’s near-certain 24 °C outcome. Historical August averages near 29 °C underscore the current anomaly. The primary risk to this consensus would be an unforecasted late-day warming spike or measurement discrepancy at the official reporting station, though ensemble guidance shows low variance through the evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$28,480 交易量
$28,480 交易量
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$28,480 交易量
$28,480 交易量
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 28, 2026, indicate a daily maximum temperature of 24–25 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with cooler-than-normal late-summer conditions driven by northerly flow. Multiple model runs and station observations converge on this narrow range, producing the market’s near-certain 24 °C outcome. Historical August averages near 29 °C underscore the current anomaly. The primary risk to this consensus would be an unforecasted late-day warming spike or measurement discrepancy at the official reporting station, though ensemble guidance shows low variance through the evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions