Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models, including ECMWF and regional outputs, shows a cooler air mass arriving over central Turkey, positioning 26°C as the leading implied probability at 42.5% for Ankara’s August 28 high. This reflects expected daytime maxima near 26–27°C under increasing cloud cover and a 30–40% chance of showers or thunderstorms, well below late-August climatological averages of 30–31°C. Northwesterly flow and modest instability are limiting daytime heating, while overnight lows near 15°C further constrain the daily range. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift trader positioning ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日安卡拉的最高溫度？
8月28日安卡拉的最高溫度？
26°C 43%
25°C 27%
27°C 18%
30°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
23°C or below
8%
24°C
5%
25°C
21%
26°C
43%
27°C
28%
28°C
9%
29°C
7%
30°C
11%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 43%
25°C 27%
27°C 18%
30°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
23°C or below
$0 交易量
8%
24°C
$0 交易量
5%
25°C
$49 交易量
21%
26°C
$230 交易量
43%
27°C
$97 交易量
28%
28°C
$0 交易量
9%
29°C
$0 交易量
7%
30°C
$5 交易量
11%
31°C
$5 交易量
5%
32°C
$5 交易量
2%
33°C or higher
$122 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models, including ECMWF and regional outputs, shows a cooler air mass arriving over central Turkey, positioning 26°C as the leading implied probability at 42.5% for Ankara’s August 28 high. This reflects expected daytime maxima near 26–27°C under increasing cloud cover and a 30–40% chance of showers or thunderstorms, well below late-August climatological averages of 30–31°C. Northwesterly flow and modest instability are limiting daytime heating, while overnight lows near 15°C further constrain the daily range. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift trader positioning ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$514結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models, including ECMWF and regional outputs, shows a cooler air mass arriving over central Turkey, positioning 26°C as the leading implied probability at 42.5% for Ankara’s August 28 high. This reflects expected daytime maxima near 26–27°C under increasing cloud cover and a 30–40% chance of showers or thunderstorms, well below late-August climatological averages of 30–31°C. Northwesterly flow and modest instability are limiting daytime heating, while overnight lows near 15°C further constrain the daily range. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift trader positioning ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$514結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models, including ECMWF and regional outputs, shows a cooler air mass arriving over central Turkey, positioning 26°C as the leading implied probability at 42.5% for Ankara’s August 28 high. This reflects expected daytime maxima near 26–27°C under increasing cloud cover and a 30–40% chance of showers or thunderstorms, well below late-August climatological averages of 30–31°C. Northwesterly flow and modest instability are limiting daytime heating, while overnight lows near 15°C further constrain the daily range. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift trader positioning ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions