Recent model guidance from sources such as the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service places Ankara’s August 27 maximum near the 31–32°C range under persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau, consistent with late-summer climatology of 29–33°C daytime highs. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, light northerly flow, and any residual moisture from earlier Atlantic troughs create the narrow spread across 30–34°C that traders have priced evenly. Official observations show no significant heat advection or cold front approaching within the next 48 hours, keeping resolution sensitive to the final 24-hour forecast update and local station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日安卡拉的最高溫度?
32°C 45%
33°C 37%
31°C 12%
34°C 12%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
7%
31°C
12%
32°C
45%
33°C
37%
34°C
12%
35°C
7%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 45%
33°C 37%
31°C 12%
34°C 12%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
7%
31°C
12%
32°C
45%
33°C
37%
34°C
12%
35°C
7%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model guidance from sources such as the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service places Ankara’s August 27 maximum near the 31–32°C range under persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau, consistent with late-summer climatology of 29–33°C daytime highs. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, light northerly flow, and any residual moisture from earlier Atlantic troughs create the narrow spread across 30–34°C that traders have priced evenly. Official observations show no significant heat advection or cold front approaching within the next 48 hours, keeping resolution sensitive to the final 24-hour forecast update and local station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions