Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources project Ankara's minimum temperature on August 27 around 14–18 °C, driven by clear to mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry conditions typical of late-summer high pressure over central Anatolia. Recent model runs show modest cooling from prior days' 17–19 °C lows amid stable subsidence and radiative cooling overnight, with limited model spread on wind speed and humidity. The tightly matched market-implied odds near 17–18 °C reflect this narrow uncertainty range, as even small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can alter the overnight minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution at the official station. Updated guidance ahead of the 27th will provide the next key input for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日安卡拉最低溫度?
18°C 85%
17°C或以下 47%
20°C 47%
27°C或以上 39%
17°C或以下
47%
18°C
85%
19°C
10%
20°C
47%
21°C
20%
22°C
32%
23°C
15%
24°C
8%
25°C
6%
26°C
6%
27°C或以上
39%
18°C 85%
17°C或以下 47%
20°C 47%
27°C或以上 39%
17°C或以下
47%
18°C
85%
19°C
10%
20°C
47%
21°C
20%
22°C
32%
23°C
15%
24°C
8%
25°C
6%
26°C
6%
27°C或以上
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources project Ankara's minimum temperature on August 27 around 14–18 °C, driven by clear to mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry conditions typical of late-summer high pressure over central Anatolia. Recent model runs show modest cooling from prior days' 17–19 °C lows amid stable subsidence and radiative cooling overnight, with limited model spread on wind speed and humidity. The tightly matched market-implied odds near 17–18 °C reflect this narrow uncertainty range, as even small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can alter the overnight minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution at the official station. Updated guidance ahead of the 27th will provide the next key input for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions