Short-term forecast uncertainty drives the near-even market split between sub-18 °C and 27 °C-plus outcomes for Ankara’s August 24 minimum. Ensemble spreads from global models show nocturnal radiative cooling varying sharply with cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and possible weak frontal passages that could either suppress or enhance the diurnal temperature range. Historical late-August climatology places typical overnight lows near 18–22 °C, but recent upper-air patterns indicate potential for both warmer downslope flow and cooler northerly advection, keeping probabilities tightly bunched. Fresh model cycles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日安卡拉最低溫度？
8月24日安卡拉最低溫度？
27°C或更高 90%
21°C 83%
23°C 83%
24°C 83%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
17°C或以下
47%
18°C
42%
19°C
24%
20°C
42%
21°C
83%
22°C
47%
23°C
83%
24°C
83%
25°C
83%
26°C
83%
27°C或更高
90%
27°C或更高 90%
21°C 83%
23°C 83%
24°C 83%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
17°C或以下
$0 交易量
47%
18°C
$0 交易量
42%
19°C
$0 交易量
24%
20°C
$14 交易量
42%
21°C
$5 交易量
83%
22°C
$5 交易量
47%
23°C
$5 交易量
83%
24°C
$5 交易量
83%
25°C
$5 交易量
83%
26°C
$5 交易量
83%
27°C或更高
$5 交易量
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty drives the near-even market split between sub-18 °C and 27 °C-plus outcomes for Ankara’s August 24 minimum. Ensemble spreads from global models show nocturnal radiative cooling varying sharply with cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and possible weak frontal passages that could either suppress or enhance the diurnal temperature range. Historical late-August climatology places typical overnight lows near 18–22 °C, but recent upper-air patterns indicate potential for both warmer downslope flow and cooler northerly advection, keeping probabilities tightly bunched. Fresh model cycles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
交易量
$49結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty drives the near-even market split between sub-18 °C and 27 °C-plus outcomes for Ankara’s August 24 minimum. Ensemble spreads from global models show nocturnal radiative cooling varying sharply with cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and possible weak frontal passages that could either suppress or enhance the diurnal temperature range. Historical late-August climatology places typical overnight lows near 18–22 °C, but recent upper-air patterns indicate potential for both warmer downslope flow and cooler northerly advection, keeping probabilities tightly bunched. Fresh model cycles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$49結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETShort-term forecast uncertainty drives the near-even market split between sub-18 °C and 27 °C-plus outcomes for Ankara’s August 24 minimum. Ensemble spreads from global models show nocturnal radiative cooling varying sharply with cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and possible weak frontal passages that could either suppress or enhance the diurnal temperature range. Historical late-August climatology places typical overnight lows near 18–22 °C, but recent upper-air patterns indicate potential for both warmer downslope flow and cooler northerly advection, keeping probabilities tightly bunched. Fresh model cycles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions