**Current short-range forecasts position Munich's overnight low on August 24 near 7–9 °C**, driven by clear skies and light winds that favor strong radiational cooling after a daytime high around 22 °C. Ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS shows modest spread: drier northerly flow supports the lower end, while any increase in cloud cover or southerly advection could lift minima toward 10–12 °C. Historical August climatology places average overnight lows near 12–14 °C, so the cooler signal reflects a transient high-pressure ridge rather than a seasonal shift. With the two leading market outcomes (≤6 °C and ≥16 °C) each near 50 % implied probability, traders are pricing residual model disagreement and the narrow time window before resolution, underscoring how small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the minimum by several degrees. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and MeteoSwiss will refine these thresholds ahead of the 24th.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日慕尼黑最低溫度？
8月24日慕尼黑最低溫度？
16°C or higher 97%
6°C or below 96%
8°C 27%
7°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
6°C or below
96%
7°C
27%
8°C
27%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
8%
16°C or higher
97%
16°C or higher 97%
6°C or below 96%
8°C 27%
7°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
6°C or below
$5 交易量
96%
7°C
$0 交易量
27%
8°C
$0 交易量
27%
9°C
$0 交易量
26%
10°C
$0 交易量
26%
11°C
$0 交易量
26%
12°C
$0 交易量
26%
13°C
$0 交易量
26%
14°C
$0 交易量
26%
15°C
$5 交易量
8%
16°C or higher
$5 交易量
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts position Munich's overnight low on August 24 near 7–9 °C**, driven by clear skies and light winds that favor strong radiational cooling after a daytime high around 22 °C. Ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS shows modest spread: drier northerly flow supports the lower end, while any increase in cloud cover or southerly advection could lift minima toward 10–12 °C. Historical August climatology places average overnight lows near 12–14 °C, so the cooler signal reflects a transient high-pressure ridge rather than a seasonal shift. With the two leading market outcomes (≤6 °C and ≥16 °C) each near 50 % implied probability, traders are pricing residual model disagreement and the narrow time window before resolution, underscoring how small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the minimum by several degrees. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and MeteoSwiss will refine these thresholds ahead of the 24th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
交易量
$15結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts position Munich's overnight low on August 24 near 7–9 °C**, driven by clear skies and light winds that favor strong radiational cooling after a daytime high around 22 °C. Ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS shows modest spread: drier northerly flow supports the lower end, while any increase in cloud cover or southerly advection could lift minima toward 10–12 °C. Historical August climatology places average overnight lows near 12–14 °C, so the cooler signal reflects a transient high-pressure ridge rather than a seasonal shift. With the two leading market outcomes (≤6 °C and ≥16 °C) each near 50 % implied probability, traders are pricing residual model disagreement and the narrow time window before resolution, underscoring how small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the minimum by several degrees. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and MeteoSwiss will refine these thresholds ahead of the 24th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET**Current short-range forecasts position Munich's overnight low on August 24 near 7–9 °C**, driven by clear skies and light winds that favor strong radiational cooling after a daytime high around 22 °C. Ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS shows modest spread: drier northerly flow supports the lower end, while any increase in cloud cover or southerly advection could lift minima toward 10–12 °C. Historical August climatology places average overnight lows near 12–14 °C, so the cooler signal reflects a transient high-pressure ridge rather than a seasonal shift. With the two leading market outcomes (≤6 °C and ≥16 °C) each near 50 % implied probability, traders are pricing residual model disagreement and the narrow time window before resolution, underscoring how small changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can shift the minimum by several degrees. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and MeteoSwiss will refine these thresholds ahead of the 24th.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions