Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 18–19°C in Cape Town on August 24 under clear to mostly sunny skies and moderate southerly winds, consistent with typical mid-winter conditions influenced by a stable high-pressure system and limited warm-air advection. This consensus drives the market’s leading implied probabilities for 19°C and 18°C, as traders weigh the narrow range of expected maxima against historical August variability at the site. Southerly flow off the cooler ocean and minimal cloud cover support moderate daytime warming without extremes, while model agreement reduces uncertainty ahead of official observations used for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日開普敦最高溫度?
19°C 44%
18°C 30%
20°C 16%
17°C 11%
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
11%
18°C
30%
19°C
44%
20°C
16%
21°C
9%
22°C
6%
23°C或更高
1%
19°C 44%
18°C 30%
20°C 16%
17°C 11%
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
11%
18°C
30%
19°C
44%
20°C
16%
21°C
9%
22°C
6%
23°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 18–19°C in Cape Town on August 24 under clear to mostly sunny skies and moderate southerly winds, consistent with typical mid-winter conditions influenced by a stable high-pressure system and limited warm-air advection. This consensus drives the market’s leading implied probabilities for 19°C and 18°C, as traders weigh the narrow range of expected maxima against historical August variability at the site. Southerly flow off the cooler ocean and minimal cloud cover support moderate daytime warming without extremes, while model agreement reduces uncertainty ahead of official observations used for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions