Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely daily maximum of 17–18°C in Cape Town on August 22, driven by northwest winds advecting mild maritime air under mostly cloudy skies with light drizzle possible. This setup limits surface heating compared to clearer conditions on adjacent days, consistent with typical mid-winter patterns where the cold Benguela Current moderates daytime highs near the long-term August average of 17–18°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows only modest variability in afternoon temperatures, with higher outcomes (19–20°C) requiring stronger insolation or wind shifts that current runs do not strongly support. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦8月22日的最高溫度?
18°C 38%
19°C 22%
17°C 20%
20°C 12%
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
6%
16°C
6%
17°C
20%
18°C
38%
19°C
22%
20°C
12%
21°C
8%
22°C或以上
2%
18°C 38%
19°C 22%
17°C 20%
20°C 12%
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
6%
16°C
6%
17°C
20%
18°C
38%
19°C
22%
20°C
12%
21°C
8%
22°C或以上
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely daily maximum of 17–18°C in Cape Town on August 22, driven by northwest winds advecting mild maritime air under mostly cloudy skies with light drizzle possible. This setup limits surface heating compared to clearer conditions on adjacent days, consistent with typical mid-winter patterns where the cold Benguela Current moderates daytime highs near the long-term August average of 17–18°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows only modest variability in afternoon temperatures, with higher outcomes (19–20°C) requiring stronger insolation or wind shifts that current runs do not strongly support. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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