Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime high near 36°C in Chongqing on August 22, 2026, under typical late-summer subtropical conditions with humidity above 70% and scattered afternoon convection. The Sichuan Basin’s orographic trapping of moist air favors cloud build-up that can cap temperatures, creating spread between 34–37°C outcomes across ensemble runs. Recent model consensus shows modest warming from prior days but notes uncertainty in precipitation timing, which could shave 1–2°C off peaks if storms develop earlier. Historical August extremes near 40°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and moisture favor the market’s clustered 34–36°C range over higher thresholds. Updated CMA guidance and next model cycles will refine land-breeze and convective details ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日重慶氣溫最高?
35°C 28%
36°C 26%
34°C 16%
38°C or higher 12%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
8%
34°C
16%
35°C
28%
36°C
26%
37°C
9%
38°C or higher
12%
35°C 28%
36°C 26%
34°C 16%
38°C or higher 12%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
8%
34°C
16%
35°C
28%
36°C
26%
37°C
9%
38°C or higher
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime high near 36°C in Chongqing on August 22, 2026, under typical late-summer subtropical conditions with humidity above 70% and scattered afternoon convection. The Sichuan Basin’s orographic trapping of moist air favors cloud build-up that can cap temperatures, creating spread between 34–37°C outcomes across ensemble runs. Recent model consensus shows modest warming from prior days but notes uncertainty in precipitation timing, which could shave 1–2°C off peaks if storms develop earlier. Historical August extremes near 40°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and moisture favor the market’s clustered 34–36°C range over higher thresholds. Updated CMA guidance and next model cycles will refine land-breeze and convective details ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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