Current numerical weather prediction models indicate a highest temperature in Milan on August 20 most likely near 25–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and moderate humidity, driving the market-implied odds. Key variables include evolving model runs from sources like the ECMWF and GFS, which show slight disagreements on peak heating due to cloud cover and precipitation timing, alongside regional steering patterns influenced by a passing trough. Historical August baselines average highs near 28–30°C, but recent cooler anomalies and forecast revisions have compressed probabilities toward the middle of the distribution. Traders monitor updated guidance from Italian meteorological services and ensemble spreads ahead of resolution, as even modest shifts in insolation or storm timing could favor adjacent outcomes like 24°C or 27°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日米蘭的最高溫度？
8月20日米蘭的最高溫度？
25°C 35%
26°C 24%
24°C 18%
27°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
8%
24°C
18%
25°C
35%
26°C
24%
27°C
16%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 35%
26°C 24%
24°C 18%
27°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
20°C or below
$134 交易量
<1%
21°C
$36 交易量
1%
22°C
$113 交易量
3%
23°C
$113 交易量
8%
24°C
$41 交易量
18%
25°C
$12 交易量
35%
26°C
$14 交易量
24%
27°C
$58 交易量
16%
28°C
$80 交易量
5%
29°C
$86 交易量
2%
30°C or higher
$115 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models indicate a highest temperature in Milan on August 20 most likely near 25–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and moderate humidity, driving the market-implied odds. Key variables include evolving model runs from sources like the ECMWF and GFS, which show slight disagreements on peak heating due to cloud cover and precipitation timing, alongside regional steering patterns influenced by a passing trough. Historical August baselines average highs near 28–30°C, but recent cooler anomalies and forecast revisions have compressed probabilities toward the middle of the distribution. Traders monitor updated guidance from Italian meteorological services and ensemble spreads ahead of resolution, as even modest shifts in insolation or storm timing could favor adjacent outcomes like 24°C or 27°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$801結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models indicate a highest temperature in Milan on August 20 most likely near 25–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and moderate humidity, driving the market-implied odds. Key variables include evolving model runs from sources like the ECMWF and GFS, which show slight disagreements on peak heating due to cloud cover and precipitation timing, alongside regional steering patterns influenced by a passing trough. Historical August baselines average highs near 28–30°C, but recent cooler anomalies and forecast revisions have compressed probabilities toward the middle of the distribution. Traders monitor updated guidance from Italian meteorological services and ensemble spreads ahead of resolution, as even modest shifts in insolation or storm timing could favor adjacent outcomes like 24°C or 27°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$801結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent numerical weather prediction models indicate a highest temperature in Milan on August 20 most likely near 25–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms and moderate humidity, driving the market-implied odds. Key variables include evolving model runs from sources like the ECMWF and GFS, which show slight disagreements on peak heating due to cloud cover and precipitation timing, alongside regional steering patterns influenced by a passing trough. Historical August baselines average highs near 28–30°C, but recent cooler anomalies and forecast revisions have compressed probabilities toward the middle of the distribution. Traders monitor updated guidance from Italian meteorological services and ensemble spreads ahead of resolution, as even modest shifts in insolation or storm timing could favor adjacent outcomes like 24°C or 27°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions