Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers place Moscow's August 20 daytime high near 20–21°C, with limited warming potential from moderate cloud cover, light variable winds, and possible scattered showers that suppress peak solar heating. This aligns with the seasonal decline from mid-August averages near 22°C and historical late-month patterns influenced by strengthening westerlies and Atlantic air masses. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture and frontal timing, creating the tight market clustering between 20°C and 21°C outcomes while keeping higher thresholds below 10% implied probability. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official station maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日莫斯科最高溫度？
8月20日莫斯科最高溫度？
21°C 33%
20°C 29%
19°C 16%
22°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
16°C or below
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
5%
19°C
16%
20°C
29%
21°C
33%
22°C
26%
23°C
10%
24°C
7%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 33%
20°C 29%
19°C 16%
22°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
16°C or below
$10 交易量
2%
17°C
$133 交易量
6%
18°C
$216 交易量
5%
19°C
$10 交易量
16%
20°C
$5 交易量
29%
21°C
$0 交易量
33%
22°C
$26 交易量
26%
23°C
$15 交易量
10%
24°C
$10 交易量
7%
25°C
$5 交易量
7%
26°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers place Moscow's August 20 daytime high near 20–21°C, with limited warming potential from moderate cloud cover, light variable winds, and possible scattered showers that suppress peak solar heating. This aligns with the seasonal decline from mid-August averages near 22°C and historical late-month patterns influenced by strengthening westerlies and Atlantic air masses. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture and frontal timing, creating the tight market clustering between 20°C and 21°C outcomes while keeping higher thresholds below 10% implied probability. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$435結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers place Moscow's August 20 daytime high near 20–21°C, with limited warming potential from moderate cloud cover, light variable winds, and possible scattered showers that suppress peak solar heating. This aligns with the seasonal decline from mid-August averages near 22°C and historical late-month patterns influenced by strengthening westerlies and Atlantic air masses. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture and frontal timing, creating the tight market clustering between 20°C and 21°C outcomes while keeping higher thresholds below 10% implied probability. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$435結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers place Moscow's August 20 daytime high near 20–21°C, with limited warming potential from moderate cloud cover, light variable winds, and possible scattered showers that suppress peak solar heating. This aligns with the seasonal decline from mid-August averages near 22°C and historical late-month patterns influenced by strengthening westerlies and Atlantic air masses. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture and frontal timing, creating the tight market clustering between 20°C and 21°C outcomes while keeping higher thresholds below 10% implied probability. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official station maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions