Current KMA and international model guidance for Busan on August 18 indicates daytime highs of 29–32°C amid elevated humidity and a chance of afternoon thundershowers. These conditions create tight clustering around 30–32°C in trader-implied odds because cloud cover and precipitation timing can suppress peak solar heating by 1–3°C, while clearer intervals allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the range. Late-summer steering patterns and regional moisture from the East China Sea add uncertainty to exact maximum values, with official forecasts emphasizing convective activity that historically limits Busan’s August extremes near the climatological 30°C average. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日釜山的最高溫度?
31°C 28%
32°C 27%
30°C 22%
29°C 14%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
11%
29°C
14%
30°C
22%
31°C
28%
32°C
27%
33°C
7%
34°C
7%
35°C或以上
1%
31°C 28%
32°C 27%
30°C 22%
29°C 14%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
11%
29°C
14%
30°C
22%
31°C
28%
32°C
27%
33°C
7%
34°C
7%
35°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current KMA and international model guidance for Busan on August 18 indicates daytime highs of 29–32°C amid elevated humidity and a chance of afternoon thundershowers. These conditions create tight clustering around 30–32°C in trader-implied odds because cloud cover and precipitation timing can suppress peak solar heating by 1–3°C, while clearer intervals allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the range. Late-summer steering patterns and regional moisture from the East China Sea add uncertainty to exact maximum values, with official forecasts emphasizing convective activity that historically limits Busan’s August extremes near the climatological 30°C average. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions