Official Met Office observations for London on August 16 confirmed a daily maximum of 26°C, anchoring the 100% market consensus after moderation from the mid-August heatwave that peaked near 38°C. Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European models aligned on partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and limited insolation, producing tight clustering around this value with minimal diurnal range. This outcome sits well within typical late-summer variability for the region, roughly 3–4°C above the 1991–2020 August average. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event quality-control revisions at the primary observing site or an unexpected micro-climate spike at an alternate London station, both rare once provisional figures are released.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月16日倫敦的最高溫度？
26°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$119,954 交易量
$119,954 交易量
2026-08-16
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$119,954 交易量
$119,954 交易量
2026-08-16
23°C or below
$10,330 交易量
No
24°C
$15,989 交易量
No
25°C
$24,262 交易量
No
26°C
$22,432 交易量
Yes
27°C
$28,702 交易量
No
28°C
$10,968 交易量
No
29°C
$4,598 交易量
No
30°C
$1,468 交易量
No
31°C
$301 交易量
No
32°C
$452 交易量
No
33°C or higher
$452 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations for London on August 16 confirmed a daily maximum of 26°C, anchoring the 100% market consensus after moderation from the mid-August heatwave that peaked near 38°C. Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European models aligned on partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and limited insolation, producing tight clustering around this value with minimal diurnal range. This outcome sits well within typical late-summer variability for the region, roughly 3–4°C above the 1991–2020 August average. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event quality-control revisions at the primary observing site or an unexpected micro-climate spike at an alternate London station, both rare once provisional figures are released.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$119,954結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations for London on August 16 confirmed a daily maximum of 26°C, anchoring the 100% market consensus after moderation from the mid-August heatwave that peaked near 38°C. Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European models aligned on partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and limited insolation, producing tight clustering around this value with minimal diurnal range. This outcome sits well within typical late-summer variability for the region, roughly 3–4°C above the 1991–2020 August average. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event quality-control revisions at the primary observing site or an unexpected micro-climate spike at an alternate London station, both rare once provisional figures are released.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$119,954結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official Met Office observations for London on August 16 confirmed a daily maximum of 26°C, anchoring the 100% market consensus after moderation from the mid-August heatwave that peaked near 38°C. Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European models aligned on partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and limited insolation, producing tight clustering around this value with minimal diurnal range. This outcome sits well within typical late-summer variability for the region, roughly 3–4°C above the 1991–2020 August average. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event quality-control revisions at the primary observing site or an unexpected micro-climate spike at an alternate London station, both rare once provisional figures are released.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions